Safe Republican — shifted 7.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 397K residents — 3 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 18.5% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 23.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.0% | 45.1% |
| Catholic | 21.1% | 32.7% |
| Black Protestant | 7.1% | 11.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 6.0% |
| Other | 3.4% | 5.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.4% |
| Non-religious | 35.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+28.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+21.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+17.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+5.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+17.4 |
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX is a metro area that has a population of 396,827. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+35.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.0% | 67.3% | R+35.3 | R+7.1 |
| 2020 | 35.3% | 63.5% | R+28.2 | R+2.2 |
| 2016 | 35.8% | 61.8% | R+26.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2012 | 39.0% | 59.9% | R+21.0 | R+3.3 |
| 2008 | 40.8% | 58.5% | R+17.7 | R+6.9 |
| 2004 | 44.4% | 55.2% | R+10.8 | R+5.8 |
| 2000 | 46.8% | 51.8% | R+5.0 | R+14.8 |
| 1996 | 50.7% | 41.0% | D+9.8 | R+7.6 |
| 1992 | 48.7% | 31.3% | D+17.4 | R+2.5 |
| 1988 | 59.8% | 39.9% | D+19.8 | D+13.4 |
| 1984 | 53.1% | 46.6% | D+6.5 | R+3.6 |
| 1980 | 53.8% | 43.8% | D+10.1 | R+10.4 |
| 1976 | 59.9% | 39.4% | D+20.5 | D+43.6 |
| 1972 | 38.3% | 61.5% | R+23.2 | R+28.3 |
| 1968 | 36.5% | 31.4% | D+5.1 | R+17.8 |
| 1964 | 61.3% | 38.4% | D+23.0 | D+4.5 |
| 1960 | 59.0% | 40.5% | D+18.5 | D+24.7 |
| 1956 | 46.7% | 52.8% | R+6.2 | R+17.0 |
| 1952 | 55.4% | 44.5% | D+10.9 | R+41.5 |
| 1948 | 68.4% | 16.0% | D+52.4 | — |
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX has been trending Republican — 14pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (48% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 23.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 18.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -16.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.0% | 45.1% | — | — | |
| 21.1% | 32.7% | — | — | |
| 7.1% | 11.0% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 6.0% | — | — | |
| 3.4% | 5.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 35.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX metro area? 396,827 residents across 3 counties.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+35.3 | R+31.8 | 3.5pp |