How did Burlington, IA-IL vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Burlington, IA-IL voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+18.7. Kamala D Harris received 8,961 votes and Donald Trump received 13,163 out of 22,518 total votes cast, a 6.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Burlington, IA-IL's political history?

Burlington, IA-IL has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 18 and Republicans 22 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 55.8 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Burlington, IA-IL?

Burlington, IA-IL has a population of 44,680 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 85.8% non-Hispanic white, 3.3% Hispanic, 4.1% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $62,833.

Which places are most similar to Burlington, IA-IL?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Burlington, IA-IL are Marinette, WI-MI, Lewiston, ID-WA, Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Burlington, IA-IL

Latest: 2024↓ R+6.4 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 45K residents — 2 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	85.8%
▶Hispanic / Latino(7)	3.3%
▶Black / African American(4)	4.1%
▶Asian(4)	1.1%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%
Multiracial / Other	5.3%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	14.6%	41.9%
Catholic	9.1%	26.0%
Evangelical Protestant	6.1%	17.4%
Other	4.6%	13.1%
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	2.1%
Black Protestant	0.6%	1.6%
Non-religious	65.0%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+18.7
2020	Trump+12.3
2016	Trump+10.2
2012	Obama+17.5
2008	Obama+22.2
2004	Kerry+18.6
2000	Gore+18.5
1996	Clinton+25.7
1992	Clinton+22.3

View full election history →

Burlington, IA-IL is a metro area that has a population of 44,680. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+18.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Burlington, IA-IL Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	39.8%	58.5%	R+18.7	R+6.4
2020	42.7%	55.0%	R+12.3	R+2.1
2016	41.1%	51.3%	R+10.2	R+27.7
2012	57.9%	40.4%	D+17.5	R+4.7
2008	60.1%	38.0%	D+22.2	D+3.6
2004	58.8%	40.3%	D+18.6	D+0.1
2000	57.7%	39.2%	D+18.5	R+7.2
1996	57.3%	31.6%	D+25.7	D+3.4
1992	52.8%	30.5%	D+22.3	D+3.8
1988	59.0%	40.4%	D+18.5	D+13.4
1984	52.3%	47.2%	D+5.1	D+5.2
1980	47.0%	47.0%	R+0.1	R+8.8
1976	53.8%	45.0%	D+8.8	D+18.4
1972	44.6%	54.2%	R+9.6	R+14.3
1968	48.9%	44.2%	D+4.7	R+30.8
1964	67.6%	32.2%	D+35.5	D+42.2
1960	46.5%	53.3%	R+6.8	D+8.3
1956	42.4%	57.5%	R+15.1	D+4.2
1952	40.2%	59.5%	R+19.3	R+20.8
1948	49.9%	48.4%	D+1.5	—

Political Identity

What defines Burlington, IA-IL?

Burlington, IA-IL has been trending Republican — 36pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Marinette, WI-MI

Small-town rural republican

R+36.4

Similarity score92%

Lewiston, ID-WA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+33.9

Similarity score90%

Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+44.7

Similarity score90%

Iron Mountain, MI-WI

Small-town rural republican

R+38.6

Similarity score90%

Wheeling, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+41.5

Similarity score86%

Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.4

Similarity score86%

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+3.1

Similarity score85%

Duluth, MN-WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+10.3

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Burlington, IA-IL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Des Moines	38K	R+15.0	7,935	10,794	19,054	84.6%
Henderson	6K	R+38.8	1,026	2,369	3,464	15.4%

2 countiesTotal votes: 22,518

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Burlington, IA-IL's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Burlington, IA-IL metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
Shifted 36.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 40.9 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Burlington, IA-ILCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 85.8%Multiracial 5.3%Black 4.1%Hispanic 3.3%Asian 1.1%Native American 0.4%

Group	Burlington, IA-IL	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	85.8%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	5.3%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(4)	4.1%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(7)	3.3%	19.3%
▶Asian(4)	1.1%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

34.9%(15.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	14.6%	41.9%	—	—
Catholic	9.1%	26.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	6.1%	17.4%	—	—
Other	4.6%	13.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	2.1%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.6%	1.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	65.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Burlington, IA-IL metro area? 44,680 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Burlington, IA-IL vs National45K residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

45K

local

45KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.7%

local

76.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$62,833

local

$62,833National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.0%

local

13.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.4%

local

23.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.5%

local

75.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.4 yrs

local

43.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.9%

local

12.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.1%

local

22.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.1%

local

2.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.8%

local

2.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.2%

local

97.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Burlington, IA-IL

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

65.7%

vs Previous

-3.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

34,254

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Burlington, IA-IL?

Likely RAvg margin: R+13.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+22.2

2012

D+17.5

2016

R+10.2

2020

R+12.3

2024

R+18.7

Elasticity

40.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+0.3

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Burlington, IA-IL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (38/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+14.3	R+23.4	9.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Burlington, IA-IL sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Illinois(State)Iowa(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo