Duluth, MN-WI
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — 281K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 1.9% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.6% | 39.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.5% | 32.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.6% | 21.8% |
| Other | 1.9% | 5.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 65.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+10.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+12.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+9.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+29.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+32.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+31.1 |
| 2000 | Gore+26.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+33.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+32.7 |
Duluth, MN-WI is a metro area that has a population of 280,870. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+10.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.1% | 43.8% | D+10.3 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 55.3% | 42.4% | D+12.9 | D+3.1 |
| 2016 | 50.7% | 40.8% | D+9.9 | R+19.6 |
| 2012 | 63.5% | 34.0% | D+29.4 | R+2.5 |
| 2008 | 64.9% | 32.9% | D+32.0 | D+0.8 |
| 2004 | 65.0% | 33.8% | D+31.1 | D+4.4 |
| 2000 | 59.9% | 33.2% | D+26.7 | R+7.2 |
| 1996 | 60.1% | 26.2% | D+33.9 | D+1.2 |
| 1992 | 56.1% | 23.4% | D+32.7 | R+3.9 |
| 1988 | 67.8% | 31.2% | D+36.6 | R+0.5 |
| 1984 | 68.1% | 31.0% | D+37.1 | D+7.5 |
| 1980 | 59.7% | 30.1% | D+29.5 | R+4.7 |
| 1976 | 65.6% | 31.3% | D+34.3 | D+16.7 |
| 1972 | 58.0% | 40.5% | D+17.5 | R+26.6 |
| 1968 | 70.2% | 26.1% | D+44.1 | R+8.1 |
| 1964 | 75.9% | 23.7% | D+52.2 | D+26.2 |
| 1960 | 62.8% | 36.7% | D+26.0 | D+6.1 |
| 1956 | 59.7% | 39.8% | D+19.9 | R+0.9 |
| 1952 | 59.9% | 39.0% | D+20.9 | R+14.1 |
| 1948 | 64.6% | 29.6% | D+35.0 | — |
What defines Duluth, MN-WI?
Duluth, MN-WI voted solidly Democratic in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
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Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
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Counties in Duluth, MN-WI
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Duluth, MN-WI's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 22.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Duluth, MN-WI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.2% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 1.9% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.8% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 1.6% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
34.9%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +12.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 39.0% | — | — | |
| 11.5% | 32.9% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 21.8% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 5.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 65.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Duluth, MN-WI metro area? 280,870 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
281K
Share of U.S. population
0.08%
Voting-age population
76.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$72,099
Poverty rate
12.7%
College degree
31.9%
Homeownership
72.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
41.5 yrs
Age 18–29
16.7%
Age 65+
20.9%
Foreign born
1.9%
Non-English at home
3.1%
English only
96.9%
Turnout in Duluth, MN-WI
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
76.6%
+0.2pp
215,416
1988–2024
How competitive is Duluth, MN-WI?
Likely DAvg margin: D+11.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+32.0
2012
D+29.4
2016
D+9.9
2020
D+12.9
2024
D+10.3
22.1pp
0
D+18.9
Do voters in Duluth, MN-WI split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (64/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+10.3 | D+21.8 | 11.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 7.8pp
Located In
Duluth, MN-WI sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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