Canton, IL
Safe Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 33K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 2.9% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.6% | 41.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 12.6% | 41.2% |
| Other | 4.1% | 13.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.3% | 10.8% |
| Catholic | 1.3% | 4.3% |
| Non-religious | 69.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+23.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+20.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+14.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+11.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+21.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+7.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+12.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+23.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+26.3 |
Canton, IL is a metro area that has a population of 33,020. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+23.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.0% | 60.9% | R+23.8 | R+3.7 |
| 2020 | 38.9% | 59.0% | R+20.1 | R+5.2 |
| 2016 | 38.8% | 53.8% | R+14.9 | R+25.9 |
| 2012 | 54.0% | 43.0% | D+11.0 | R+10.3 |
| 2008 | 59.5% | 38.2% | D+21.3 | D+13.9 |
| 2004 | 53.3% | 45.9% | D+7.4 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 55.3% | 42.9% | D+12.4 | R+11.2 |
| 1996 | 56.4% | 32.8% | D+23.6 | R+2.8 |
| 1992 | 54.9% | 28.6% | D+26.3 | D+13.6 |
| 1988 | 56.2% | 43.5% | D+12.7 | D+12.8 |
| 1984 | 49.7% | 49.8% | R+0.1 | D+14.9 |
| 1980 | 39.5% | 54.4% | R+15.0 | R+13.5 |
| 1976 | 48.8% | 50.2% | R+1.4 | D+22.6 |
| 1972 | 37.7% | 61.8% | R+24.1 | R+24.3 |
| 1968 | 46.9% | 46.7% | D+0.2 | R+25.0 |
| 1964 | 62.6% | 37.4% | D+25.2 | D+33.3 |
| 1960 | 45.8% | 53.9% | R+8.1 | D+9.5 |
| 1956 | 41.2% | 58.8% | R+17.6 | D+4.8 |
| 1952 | 38.7% | 61.1% | R+22.5 | R+15.3 |
| 1948 | 45.9% | 53.0% | R+7.1 | — |
What defines Canton, IL?
Canton, IL has been trending Republican — 35pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Canton, IL
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulton | 33K | R+23.8 | 5,980 | 9,827 | 16,144 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 23.8% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 34.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Canton, IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 2.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -41.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 41.2% | — | — | |
| 12.6% | 41.2% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 13.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 3.3% | 10.8% | — | — |
| 1.3% | 4.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 69.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Canton, IL metro area? 33,020 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Canton, IL
How competitive is Canton, IL?
Do voters in Canton, IL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+10.2 | R+21.8 | 11.6pp |