How did Hermitage, PA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Hermitage, PA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+30.2. Kamala D Harris received 20,145 votes and Donald Trump received 37,761 out of 58,410 total votes cast, a 4.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Hermitage, PA's political history?

Hermitage, PA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004. The largest single-election swing was 39.0 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Hermitage, PA?

Hermitage, PA has a population of 109,257 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 87.9% non-Hispanic white, 1.7% Hispanic, 5.8% Black. About 26% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $59,976.

Which places are most similar to Hermitage, PA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Hermitage, PA are Johnstown, PA, Rice Lake, WI, Meadville, PA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Hermitage, PA

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.1 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 4.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 109K residents — 1 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	87.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	1.7%
▶Black / African American(6)	5.8%
▶Asian(4)	0.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	3.9%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	13.2%	32.8%
Evangelical Protestant	13.1%	32.5%
Mainline Protestant	12.2%	30.4%
Black Protestant	1.0%	2.4%
Orthodox Christian	0.5%	1.2%
Other	0.3%	0.7%
Non-religious	59.7%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+30.2
2020	Trump+26.0
2016	Trump+24.2
2012	Romney+3.3
2008	McCain+0.3
2004	Bush+2.9
2000	Gore+1.4
1996	Clinton+12.6
1992	Clinton+14.4

View full election history →

Hermitage, PA is a metro area that has a population of 109,257. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+30.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Hermitage, PA Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	34.5%	64.6%	R+30.2	R+4.1
2020	36.4%	62.4%	R+26.0	R+1.8
2016	35.5%	59.7%	R+24.2	R+20.9
2012	47.5%	50.8%	R+3.3	R+3.0
2008	48.8%	49.0%	R+0.3	D+2.6
2004	48.2%	51.0%	R+2.9	R+4.3
2000	48.9%	47.5%	D+1.4	R+11.2
1996	50.2%	37.6%	D+12.6	R+1.8
1992	46.7%	32.3%	D+14.4	D+7.9
1988	52.9%	46.4%	D+6.5	D+5.6
1984	50.0%	49.1%	D+0.9	D+6.7
1980	42.8%	48.5%	R+5.8	R+11.1
1976	51.9%	46.6%	D+5.3	D+26.3
1972	38.4%	59.4%	R+21.0	R+20.3
1968	46.5%	47.1%	R+0.6	R+28.4
1964	63.7%	35.9%	D+27.8	D+36.9
1960	45.3%	54.4%	R+9.1	D+9.4
1956	40.6%	59.1%	R+18.5	R+6.6
1952	43.7%	55.6%	R+11.9	R+4.1
1948	44.9%	52.7%	R+7.8	—

Political Identity

What defines Hermitage, PA?

Hermitage, PA has been trending Republican — 27pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Johnstown, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+39.7

Similarity score96%

Rice Lake, WI

Small-town rural republican

R+29.0

Similarity score94%

Meadville, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+39.3

Similarity score94%

Escanaba, MI

Small-town rural republican

R+30.4

Similarity score93%

Marietta, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.8

Similarity score92%

Oil City, PA

Small-town rural republican

R+42.1

Similarity score91%

Sayre, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+47.9

Similarity score91%

St. Marys, PA

Small-town rural republican

R+47.0

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Hermitage, PA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Mercer	109K	R+30.2	20,145	37,761	58,410	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 58,410

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Hermitage, PA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Hermitage, PA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 30.2% margin
The 2008 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Hermitage, PACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 87.9%Black 5.8%Multiracial 3.9%Hispanic 1.7%Asian 0.6%

Group	Hermitage, PA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	87.9%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(6)	5.8%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	3.9%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	1.7%	19.3%
▶Asian(4)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

40.3%(44.0K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	13.2%	32.8%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	13.1%	32.5%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	12.2%	30.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.0%	2.4%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.5%	1.2%	—	—
Other	0.3%	0.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	59.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Hermitage, PA metro area? 109,257 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Hermitage, PA vs National109K residents

26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

109K

local

109KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.2%

local

75.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$59,976

local

$59,976National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.2%

local

13.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.6%

local

25.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.4%

local

72.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

45.1 yrs

local

45.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.5%

local

14.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.1%

local

23.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.8%

local

1.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.1%

local

4.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.9%

local

95.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Hermitage, PA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

71.1%

vs Previous

+0.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

82,199

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Hermitage, PA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+26.8 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+0.3

2012

R+3.3

2016

R+24.2

2020

R+26.0

2024

R+30.2

Elasticity

29.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+16.8

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Hermitage, PA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyStraight-ticket (84/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+30.2	R+27.8	2.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 4.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Hermitage, PA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Pennsylvania(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo