Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 98K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 2.7% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 8.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.2% | 56.2% |
| Catholic | 11.2% | 20.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.1% | 18.1% |
| Other | 1.8% | 3.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.3% | 2.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 44.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+48.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+46.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+50.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+40.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+30.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+29.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+12.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.2 |
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL is a metro area that has a population of 98,169. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+48.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.8 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 25.8% | 72.7% | R+46.9 | D+3.1 |
| 2016 | 22.8% | 72.8% | R+50.0 | R+9.7 |
| 2012 | 28.8% | 69.1% | R+40.3 | R+9.9 |
| 2008 | 34.1% | 64.5% | R+30.4 | D+4.4 |
| 2004 | 32.3% | 67.1% | R+34.8 | R+5.3 |
| 2000 | 34.2% | 63.6% | R+29.4 | R+17.4 |
| 1996 | 39.9% | 51.9% | R+12.0 | R+4.8 |
| 1992 | 37.6% | 44.8% | R+7.2 | D+18.7 |
| 1988 | 36.9% | 62.8% | R+25.9 | D+4.5 |
| 1984 | 34.8% | 65.2% | R+30.4 | R+11.5 |
| 1980 | 38.8% | 57.7% | R+18.9 | R+17.0 |
| 1976 | 48.8% | 50.7% | R+1.9 | D+33.9 |
| 1972 | 32.0% | 67.8% | R+35.8 | R+23.4 |
| 1968 | 36.6% | 49.1% | R+12.5 | R+28.3 |
| 1964 | 57.9% | 42.1% | D+15.8 | D+27.3 |
| 1960 | 44.2% | 55.7% | R+11.5 | D+0.9 |
| 1956 | 43.8% | 56.2% | R+12.4 | D+1.3 |
| 1952 | 43.1% | 56.8% | R+13.7 | R+16.4 |
| 1948 | 51.1% | 48.5% | D+2.6 | — |
What defines Cape Girardeau, MO-IL?
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Quincy, IL-MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Joplin, MO-KS
Small-town rural republican 3
Cumberland, MD-WV
Small-town rural republican 3
St. Joseph, MO-KS
Small-town rural republican 3
Paducah, KY-IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Wahpeton, ND-MN
Small-town rural republican 3
Wheeling, WV-OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Girardeau | 83K | R+46.5 | 10,561 | 29,315 | 40,353 | 82.7% |
| Bollinger | 11K | R+74.8 | 756 | 5,365 | 6,161 | 12.6% |
| Alexander | 5K | R+19.2 | 904 | 1,341 | 2,271 | 4.7% |
3 countiesTotal votes: 48,785
Ask the Historian
Explore Cape Girardeau, MO-IL's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 48.8% margin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 8.0% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 2.7% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
55.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -40.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.2% | 56.2% | — | — | |
| 11.2% | 20.1% | — | — | |
| 10.1% | 18.1% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 44.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Cape Girardeau, MO-IL metro area? 98,169 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
98K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
74.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$66,921
Poverty rate
14.2%
College degree
30.0%
Homeownership
68.9%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.4 yrs
Age 18–29
18.5%
Age 65+
18.6%
Foreign born
2.2%
Non-English at home
3.1%
English only
96.9%
Turnout in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
66.6%
-0.2pp
73,237
1988–2024
How competitive is Cape Girardeau, MO-IL?
Safe RAvg margin: R+48.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+30.4
2012
R+40.3
2016
R+50.0
2020
R+46.9
2024
R+48.8
19.5pp
0
R+43.3
Do voters in Cape Girardeau, MO-IL split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+48.8 | R+53.8 | 5.1pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+50.5 | R+53.8 | 3.3pp |
| President vs Senate | R+48.8 | R+50.5 | 1.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 23.6pp
Located In
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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