How did Cumberland, MD-WV vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Cumberland, MD-WV voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+45.9. Kamala D Harris received 11,714 votes and Donald Trump received 32,388 out of 45,041 total votes cast, a 2.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Cumberland, MD-WV's political history?

Cumberland, MD-WV has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 44.6 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Cumberland, MD-WV?

Cumberland, MD-WV has a population of 94,306 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 87.7% non-Hispanic white, 1.8% Hispanic, 5.3% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $62,425.

Which places are most similar to Cumberland, MD-WV?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Cumberland, MD-WV are Quincy, IL-MO, Bluefield, WV-VA, Wheeling, WV-OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Cumberland, MD-WV

Latest: 2024↓ R+2.0 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 94K residents — 2 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	87.7%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	1.8%
▶Black / African American(11)	5.3%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.1%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	14.1%	35.0%
Evangelical Protestant	13.8%	34.2%
Catholic	9.7%	24.2%
Other	2.2%	5.4%
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.8%
Black Protestant	0.5%	1.2%
Non-religious	59.8%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+45.9
2020	Trump+43.9
2016	Trump+48.6
2012	Romney+35.2
2008	McCain+28.0
2004	Bush+30.8
2000	Bush+18.3
1996	Dole+5.7
1992	Bush+7.8

View full election history →

Cumberland, MD-WV is a metro area that has a population of 94,306. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+45.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Cumberland, MD-WV Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	26.0%	71.9%	R+45.9	R+2.0
2020	27.2%	71.1%	R+43.9	D+4.6
2016	23.6%	72.2%	R+48.6	R+13.4
2012	31.1%	66.3%	R+35.2	R+7.2
2008	35.0%	63.0%	R+28.0	D+2.8
2004	34.1%	64.9%	R+30.8	R+12.6
2000	39.4%	57.6%	R+18.3	R+12.5
1996	41.4%	47.1%	R+5.7	D+2.0
1992	37.5%	45.3%	R+7.8	D+11.4
1988	40.1%	59.3%	R+19.1	D+9.4
1984	35.4%	63.9%	R+28.5	R+12.6
1980	39.4%	55.3%	R+15.9	R+19.0
1976	51.5%	48.5%	D+3.1	D+35.5
1972	33.2%	65.5%	R+32.4	R+30.8
1968	41.6%	43.2%	R+1.6	R+26.2
1964	62.3%	37.7%	D+24.6	D+44.6
1960	40.0%	60.0%	R+20.0	D+10.0
1956	35.0%	65.0%	R+30.0	R+17.0
1952	43.4%	56.4%	R+13.0	R+13.6
1948	49.5%	48.9%	D+0.6	—

Political Identity

What defines Cumberland, MD-WV?

It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Quincy, IL-MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+48.9

Similarity score96%

Bluefield, WV-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+62.5

Similarity score95%

Wheeling, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+41.5

Similarity score95%

Cape Girardeau, MO-IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+48.8

Similarity score95%

Paducah, KY-IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.7

Similarity score95%

Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+44.7

Similarity score93%

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+57.5

Similarity score93%

Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.4

Similarity score93%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Cumberland, MD-WV

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Allegany	67K	R+40.2	9,231	22,141	32,137	71.4%
Mineral	27K	R+60.2	2,483	10,247	12,904	28.6%

2 countiesTotal votes: 45,041

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Cumberland, MD-WV's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Cumberland, MD-WV metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 45.9% margin
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.5 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Cumberland, MD-WVCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 87.7%Black 5.3%Multiracial 4.1%Hispanic 1.8%Asian 0.8%

Group	Cumberland, MD-WV	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	87.7%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(11)	5.3%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.1%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	1.8%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

40.2%(37.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -14.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	14.1%	35.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	13.8%	34.2%	—	—
Catholic	9.7%	24.2%	—	—
Other	2.2%	5.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.5%	1.2%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	59.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Cumberland, MD-WV metro area? 94,306 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Cumberland, MD-WV vs National94K residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

94K

local

94KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.0%

local

74.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$62,425

local

$62,425National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.1%

local

16.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.8%

local

21.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.7%

local

73.7%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.2 yrs

local

42.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.2%

local

16.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.6%

local

21.6%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.6%

local

1.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.7%

local

2.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.3%

local

97.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Cumberland, MD-WV

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

64.5%

vs Previous

+2.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

69,802

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Cumberland, MD-WV?

Safe RAvg margin: R+46.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+28.0

2012

R+35.2

2016

R+48.6

2020

R+43.9

2024

R+45.9

Elasticity

20.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+40.3

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Cumberland, MD-WV split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	R+45.9	R+59.0	13.1pp
Senate vs Governor	R+50.6	R+59.0	8.3pp
President vs Senate	R+45.9	R+50.6	4.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 21.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Cumberland, MD-WV sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Maryland(State)West Virginia(State)

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