How did Carbondale, IL vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Carbondale, IL voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+3.5. Kamala D Harris received 11,394 votes and Donald Trump received 10,614 out of 22,465 total votes cast, a 2.2-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Carbondale, IL's political history?

Carbondale, IL has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 69.8 points in 1876.

What are the demographics of Carbondale, IL?

Carbondale, IL has a population of 53,064 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 71.3% non-Hispanic white, 5.3% Hispanic, 14.0% Black. About 36% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $48,763.

Which places are most similar to Carbondale, IL?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Carbondale, IL are Pullman, WA, Athens, OH, Vermillion, SD. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Carbondale, IL

Latest: 2024↑ D+2.2 vs 2020

Competitive — 53K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	71.3%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	5.3%
▶Black / African American(6)	14.0%
▶Asian(5)	3.7%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.6%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	5.6%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	25.2%	54.8%
Mainline Protestant	8.2%	17.9%
Other	8.1%	17.6%
Catholic	2.9%	6.3%
Black Protestant	1.5%	3.2%
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	2.1%
Non-religious	54.0%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Harris+3.5
2020	Biden+1.3
2016	Clinton+3.2
2012	Obama+14.3
2008	Obama+21.7
2004	Kerry+12.0
2000	Gore+8.5
1996	Clinton+21.8
1992	Clinton+26.5

View full election history →

Carbondale, IL is a metro area that has a population of 53,064. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+3.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Carbondale, IL Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	50.7%	47.2%	D+3.5	D+2.2
2020	49.2%	47.9%	D+1.3	R+1.9
2016	47.3%	44.0%	D+3.2	R+11.1
2012	55.3%	40.9%	D+14.3	R+7.4
2008	59.5%	37.8%	D+21.7	D+9.7
2004	55.4%	43.3%	D+12.0	D+3.5
2000	51.6%	43.0%	D+8.5	R+13.2
1996	55.5%	33.7%	D+21.8	R+4.7
1992	54.7%	28.2%	D+26.5	D+18.7
1988	53.5%	45.7%	D+7.8	D+13.6
1984	46.7%	52.6%	R+5.8	R+4.9
1980	43.2%	44.1%	R+0.9	R+12.5
1976	53.6%	42.1%	D+11.6	D+8.6
1972	51.4%	48.4%	D+2.9	D+4.4
1968	45.1%	46.5%	R+1.4	R+28.3
1964	63.4%	36.6%	D+26.9	D+37.5
1960	44.6%	55.3%	R+10.7	D+6.9
1956	41.2%	58.8%	R+17.5	R+2.1
1952	42.2%	57.7%	R+15.5	R+6.7
1948	45.0%	53.8%	R+8.8	—

Political Identity

What defines Carbondale, IL?

It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Pullman, WA

Educated rural competitive

D+8.9

Similarity score94%

Athens, OH

Educated rural competitive

D+10.7

Similarity score92%

Vermillion, SD

Educated rural competitive

D+6.5

Similarity score92%

Greenville, NC

Educated rural competitive

D+6.0

Similarity score91%

Bloomington, IN

Educated rural competitive

D+16.2

Similarity score91%

Pittsburg, KS

Educated rural competitive

R+25.1

Similarity score91%

Stillwater, OK

Educated rural competitive

R+25.3

Similarity score90%

Mount Pleasant, MI

Educated rural competitive

R+7.5

Similarity score90%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Carbondale, IL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Jackson	53K	D+3.5	11,394	10,614	22,465	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 22,465

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Carbondale, IL's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Carbondale, IL metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
The 2020 election was decided by just 1.3 points — razor-thin
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.4 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Carbondale, ILCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 71.3%Black 14.0%Multiracial 5.6%Hispanic 5.3%Asian 3.7%

Group	Carbondale, IL	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	71.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(6)	14.0%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	5.6%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	5.3%	19.3%
▶Asian(5)	3.7%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

46.0%(24.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -53.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	25.2%	54.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.2%	17.9%	—	—
Other	8.1%	17.6%	—	—
Catholic	2.9%	6.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.5%	3.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	2.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	54.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Carbondale, IL metro area? 53,064 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Carbondale, IL vs National53K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

53K

local

53KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.02%

local

0.02%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.5%

local

73.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$48,763

local

$48,763National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.0%

local

21.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.3%

local

36.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

50.0%

local

50.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.4 yrs

local

32.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.5%

local

28.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.5%

local

16.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7%

local

5.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.8%

local

9.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.2%

local

90.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Carbondale, IL

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

57.6%

vs Previous

-0.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

39,011

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Carbondale, IL?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+2.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+21.7

2012

D+14.3

2016

D+3.2

2020

D+1.3

2024

D+3.5

Elasticity

20.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+8.8

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Carbondale, IL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (28/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	D+8.3	R+0.4	8.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Carbondale, IL sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Illinois(State)

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