Carson City, NV
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 58K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 26.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 2.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.4% | 56.1% |
| Other | 7.8% | 22.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 6.2% | 17.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.8% | 13.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.9% | 5.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.7% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 65.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+11.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+14.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+19.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+10.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.7 |
Carson City, NV is a metro area that has a population of 58,384. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+11.3. Akashic Edge tracks 14 presidential elections here, dating back to 1972.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.1% | 54.3% | R+11.3 | D+0.1 |
| 2020 | 42.8% | 54.2% | R+11.4 | D+2.7 |
| 2016 | 38.4% | 52.5% | R+14.1 | R+5.0 |
| 2012 | 44.1% | 53.1% | R+9.0 | R+9.9 |
| 2008 | 49.1% | 48.2% | D+0.9 | D+17.0 |
| 2004 | 40.9% | 57.0% | R+16.1 | D+3.0 |
| 2000 | 37.8% | 57.0% | R+19.2 | R+9.1 |
| 1996 | 38.6% | 48.7% | R+10.1 | R+3.4 |
| 1992 | 32.1% | 38.8% | R+6.7 | D+23.4 |
| 1988 | 33.3% | 63.4% | R+30.2 | D+11.8 |
| 1984 | 28.0% | 70.0% | R+42.0 | D+2.7 |
| 1980 | 22.1% | 66.8% | R+44.8 | R+30.3 |
| 1976 | 39.7% | 54.1% | R+14.4 | D+29.2 |
| 1972 | 28.2% | 71.8% | R+43.6 | — |
What defines Carson City, NV?
Carson City, NV has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography.
Constituent Counties
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Educated rural democratic
Counties in Carson City, NV
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson City | 58K | R+11.3 | 13,375 | 16,873 | 31,068 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 31,068
Ask the Historian
Explore Carson City, NV's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.9 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- College attainment is 24% — 9pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Carson City, NV | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 26.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.5% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 2.2% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 1.8% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
34.5%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +37.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.4% | 56.1% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 22.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 6.2% | 17.9% | — | — |
| 4.8% | 13.9% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 5.5% | — | — | |
| 0.7% | 2.0% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 65.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Carson City, NV metro area? 58,384 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
58K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
75.0%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$72,355
Poverty rate
10.3%
College degree
23.7%
Homeownership
62.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
42.4 yrs
Age 18–29
13.9%
Age 65+
21.2%
Foreign born
12.5%
Non-English at home
20.5%
English only
79.5%
Turnout in Carson City, NV
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
70.9%
+3.0pp
43,813
1988–2024
How competitive is Carson City, NV?
Likely RAvg margin: R+12.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+0.9
2012
R+9.0
2016
R+14.1
2020
R+11.4
2024
R+11.3
14.9pp
2
R+9.0
Do voters in Carson City, NV split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (46/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+11.3 | R+6.3 | 5.0pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 10.7pp
Located In
Carson City, NV sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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