How did Burlington, NC vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Burlington, NC voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+8.1. Kamala D Harris received 40,624 votes and Donald Trump received 47,937 out of 89,831 total votes cast, a 0.3-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Burlington, NC's political history?

Burlington, NC has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 67.0 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Burlington, NC?

Burlington, NC has a population of 176,893 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 58.1% non-Hispanic white, 15.3% Hispanic, 19.8% Black. About 29% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $65,651.

Which places are most similar to Burlington, NC?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Burlington, NC are Greensboro-High Point, NC, Wilson, NC, Savannah, GA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Burlington, NC

Latest: 2024→ Even vs 2020

Leans Republican — 177K residents — 1 counties

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Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
R+9.2
McCain
2012
R+13.7
Romney
2016
R+12.6
Trump
2020
R+8.4
Trump
2024
R+8.1
Trump

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White58.1%
Black19.8%
Hispanic15.3%

Economy & age

Population: 177K
Median age: 38.9
Median income: $66K; −$18K vs U.S.
College+: 29%; −6.9pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Evangelical20.6%
Mainline10.2%

84% English only16% Non-English

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Greensboro-High Point, NC

Educated rural competitive 2

Educated rural competitive 2

R+0.7

Similarity score82%

Warner Robins, GA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+10.5

Similarity score81%

Greenville, NC

Educated rural competitive

D+6.0

Similarity score81%

Rockford, IL

Small-town rural republican 2

Small-town rural republican 2

R+8.0

Similarity score80%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Burlington, NC

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Alamance	177K	R+8.1	40,624	47,937	89,831	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 89,831

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Burlington, NC's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Burlington, NC metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Burlington, NCCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 58.1%Black 19.8%Hispanic 15.3%Multiracial 4.5%Asian 1.8%Native American 0.5%

Group	Burlington, NC	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	58.1%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(10)	19.8%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	15.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.5%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.8%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

42.9%(75.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -37.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	20.6%	48.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	10.2%	23.8%	—	—
Catholic	6.6%	15.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.2%	7.5%	—	—
Other	2.2%	5.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	57.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Burlington, NC metro area? 176,893 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Burlington, NC vs National177K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

177K

local

177KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.05%

local

0.05%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.5%

local

74.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$65,651

local

$65,651National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.7%

local

28.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.0%

local

65.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.9 yrs

local

38.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.3%

local

16.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.2%

local

17.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.5%

local

9.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.5%

local

15.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

84.5%

local

84.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Burlington, NC

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

70.0%

vs Previous

+2.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

38K · 30.0%

Citizen VAP

128,326

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Burlington, NC?

Lean RAvg margin: R+9.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+9.2

2012

R+13.7

2016

R+12.6

2020

R+8.4

2024

R+8.1

Elasticity

5.6pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+10.4

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Burlington, NC split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (50/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	R+8.1	D+11.5	19.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 10.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Burlington, NC sits inside these higher-level geographies.

North Carolina(State)

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