Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 247K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 5.8% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 8.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.2% | 54.1% |
| Catholic | 12.7% | 25.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.6% | 15.1% |
| Other | 1.5% | 2.9% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 2.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 49.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+58.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+53.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+58.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+55.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+51.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+53.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+47.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+35.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+30.3 |
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL is a metro area that has a population of 246,989. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+58.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.4% | 78.4% | R+58.0 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 22.4% | 76.2% | R+53.8 | D+4.3 |
| 2016 | 19.7% | 77.7% | R+58.0 | R+2.4 |
| 2012 | 21.6% | 77.2% | R+55.7 | R+4.2 |
| 2008 | 23.8% | 75.3% | R+51.4 | D+2.5 |
| 2004 | 22.5% | 76.4% | R+53.9 | R+6.3 |
| 2000 | 24.8% | 72.4% | R+47.6 | R+12.1 |
| 1996 | 27.1% | 62.6% | R+35.5 | R+5.2 |
| 1992 | 26.2% | 56.5% | R+30.3 | D+16.5 |
| 1988 | 26.0% | 72.8% | R+46.8 | D+6.7 |
| 1984 | 22.0% | 75.5% | R+53.5 | R+17.5 |
| 1980 | 29.8% | 65.8% | R+36.0 | R+18.3 |
| 1976 | 40.0% | 57.7% | R+17.7 | D+48.6 |
| 1972 | 15.9% | 82.2% | R+66.3 | R+131.2 |
| 1968 | 76.4% | 11.5% | D+64.9 | D+127.2 |
| 1964 | 18.9% | 81.1% | R+62.2 | R+70.5 |
| 1960 | 53.3% | 45.0% | D+8.3 | D+13.2 |
| 1956 | 46.1% | 51.0% | R+4.9 | R+8.1 |
| 1952 | 51.2% | 48.0% | D+3.1 | R+26.9 |
| 1948 | 42.8% | 12.7% | D+30.1 | — |
What defines Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL?
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
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Counties in Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwin | 247K | R+58.0 | 24,934 | 95,798 | 122,249 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 122,249
Ask the Historian
Explore Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 58.0% margin
- Turnout increased by 6.6 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 8.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 5.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
50.3%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -33.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.2% | 54.1% | — | — | |
| 12.7% | 25.3% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 15.1% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 2.9% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.2% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL metro area? 246,989 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
247K
Share of U.S. population
0.07%
Voting-age population
77.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$78,775
Poverty rate
10.1%
College degree
33.7%
Homeownership
77.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.9 yrs
Age 18–29
12.2%
Age 65+
21.7%
Foreign born
4.1%
Non-English at home
5.9%
English only
94.1%
Turnout in Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
63.8%
+6.6pp
191,755
1988–2024
How competitive is Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL?
Safe RAvg margin: R+56.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+51.4
2012
R+55.7
2016
R+58.0
2020
R+53.8
2024
R+58.0
6.6pp
0
R+55.4
Do voters in Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (51/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+65.6 | R+66.3 | 0.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.8pp
Located In
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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