Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL
Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 212K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 73.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.5% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 10.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.9% | 63.1% |
| Catholic | 5.6% | 16.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 9.3% |
| Other | 2.3% | 6.7% |
| Black Protestant | 1.6% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 3.0% |
| Non-religious | 65.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+43.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+41.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+43.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+32.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+19.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+20.8 |
Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL is a metro area that has a population of 211,922. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.4. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.8% | 74.2% | R+49.4 | R+3.8 |
| 2020 | 26.5% | 72.1% | R+45.6 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 24.4% | 71.8% | R+47.4 | R+3.5 |
| 2012 | 27.3% | 71.2% | R+43.9 | R+2.5 |
| 2008 | 28.7% | 70.1% | R+41.4 | D+1.6 |
| 2004 | 28.1% | 71.2% | R+43.1 | R+10.2 |
| 2000 | 32.4% | 65.3% | R+32.9 | R+13.0 |
| 1996 | 33.7% | 53.5% | R+19.9 | D+0.9 |
| 1992 | 28.7% | 49.5% | R+20.8 | D+23.7 |
| 1988 | 27.3% | 71.7% | R+44.5 | D+5.6 |
| 1984 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.1 | R+28.9 |
| 1980 | 37.7% | 58.9% | R+21.2 | R+26.5 |
| 1976 | 51.9% | 46.6% | D+5.4 | D+73.7 |
| 1972 | 15.8% | 84.2% | R+68.3 | R+65.2 |
| 1968 | 16.2% | 19.3% | R+3.1 | D+21.9 |
| 1964 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 | R+56.1 |
| 1960 | 65.5% | 34.5% | D+31.1 | D+2.5 |
| 1956 | 64.1% | 35.6% | D+28.5 | R+1.8 |
| 1952 | 65.1% | 34.9% | D+30.3 | R+25.6 |
| 1948 | 68.8% | 12.9% | D+55.9 | — |
What defines Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL?
Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay | 186K | R+47.4 | 25,201 | 71,497 | 97,777 | 88.6% |
| Washington | 26K | R+65.4 | 2,140 | 10,370 | 12,584 | 11.4% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.4% margin
- Turnout increased by 3.1 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 73.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 10.4% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.6% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -51.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.9% | 63.1% | — | — | |
| 5.6% | 16.0% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 9.3% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 6.7% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 4.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 3.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 65.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL metro area? 211,922 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL
How competitive is Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL?
Do voters in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+49.4 | R+52.3 | 2.9pp |