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Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.8 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 3.0M residents — 10 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
60.8%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)
23.9%
▶Black / African American(16)
5.7%
▶Asian(6)
4.4%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
0.7%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)
1.0%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5)
0.2%
Multiracial / Other
4.1%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Catholic15.9%46.7%
Evangelical Protestant9.5%28.0%
Other4.7%13.9%
Mainline Protestant2.8%8.2%
LDS (Mormon)2.1%6.2%
Black Protestant0.6%1.9%
Orthodox Christian0.4%1.3%
Non-religious66.1%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Harris+21.4
2020Biden+25.2
2016Clinton+15.8
2012Obama+13.3
2008Obama+17.1
2004Kerry+2.7
2000Bush+0.0
1996Clinton+3.9
1992Clinton+8.2
View full election history →

Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO is a metro area that has a population of 3,002,721. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+21.4. Akashic Edge tracks 37 presidential elections here, dating back to 1880.

Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202459.3%37.9%D+21.4R+3.8
202061.3%36.1%D+25.2D+9.4
201653.7%37.9%D+15.8D+2.5
201255.5%42.2%D+13.3R+3.8
200857.7%40.7%D+17.1D+14.4
200450.7%48.0%D+2.7D+2.7
200047.0%47.1%EvenR+3.9
199647.7%43.8%D+3.9R+4.4
199242.1%33.9%D+8.2D+11.1
198847.6%50.5%R+2.9D+22.1
198436.7%61.7%R+25.0R+3.8
198031.9%53.1%R+21.2R+11.3
197643.4%53.3%R+9.9D+16.1
197235.8%61.8%R+26.0R+20.7
196843.6%48.8%R+5.2R+31.2
196462.7%36.7%D+25.9D+31.1
196047.1%52.3%R+5.1D+10.7
195641.7%57.5%R+15.9R+0.2
195241.8%57.5%R+15.7R+22.2
194852.4%45.9%D+6.6—
Political Identity

What defines Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO?

It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.

Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Denver719K
D+56.1
278,63474,765363,07622.5%
Arapahoe660K
D+20.1
190,725125,311325,45120.1%
Jefferson579K
D+19.5
210,875140,505361,50422.4%
Adams530K
D+9.0
124,056103,024233,33614.4%
Douglas377K
R+7.0
110,408127,451243,75815.1%
Broomfield76K
D+28.5
29,42616,07146,8172.9%
Elbert28K
R+51.1
4,76815,20920,4171.3%
Park18K
R+16.5
4,8416,82812,0440.7%
Clear Creek9K
D+16.6
3,4642,4526,1010.4%
Gilpin6K
D+12.7
2,2541,7294,1290.3%
10 countiesTotal votes: 1,616,633
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 21.4% margin
  • College attainment is 49% — 16pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Denver-Aurora-Centennial, COCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 60.8%Hispanic 23.9%Black 5.7%Asian 4.4%Multiracial 4.1%Native American 1.0%
GroupLocalNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
60.8%57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)
23.9%19.3%
▶Black / African American(16)
5.7%12.2%
▶Asian(6)
4.4%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
4.1%4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)
1.0%0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
0.7%0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5)
0.2%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
33.9%(1.0M people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +14.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
15.9%46.7%——
Evangelical Protestant
9.5%28.0%——
Other
4.7%13.9%——
Mainline Protestant
2.8%8.2%——
LDS (Mormon)
2.1%6.2%——
Black Protestant
0.6%1.9%——
Orthodox Christian
0.4%1.3%——
Non-religiousPopulation
66.1%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO metro area? 3,002,721 residents across 10 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO vs National3.0M residents

49% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
3.0M
local
3.0MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.90%
local
0.90%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
77.8%
local
77.8%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$106,613
local
$106,613National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
8.4%
local
8.4%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
49.1%
local
49.1%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
64.1%
local
64.1%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
37.5 yrs
local
37.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.2%
local
16.2%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.2%
local
14.2%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
12.5%
local
12.5%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
19.7%
local
19.7%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
80.3%
local
80.3%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
69.2%
vs Previous
-2.6pp
Voting-Age Pop
2,337,169
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO?

Safe DAvg margin: D+20.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+17.1
2012
D+13.3
2016
D+15.8
2020
D+25.2
2024
D+21.4
Elasticity
11.9pp
margin range
Party Flips
2
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+18.5
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (28/100)
2022 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
Senate vs GovernorD+24.5D+29.85.3pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.2pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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