How did Dover, DE vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Dover, DE voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+2.0. Kamala D Harris received 44,222 votes and Donald Trump received 42,458 out of 88,141 total votes cast, a 2.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Dover, DE's political history?

Dover, DE has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 23 and Republicans 17 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 38.7 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Dover, DE?

Dover, DE has a population of 187,604 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 56.5% non-Hispanic white, 8.1% Hispanic, 27.0% Black. About 28% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $74,477.

Which places are most similar to Dover, DE?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Dover, DE are Warner Robins, GA, Salisbury, MD, Kingston, NY. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Dover, DE

Latest: 2024↓ R+2.1 vs 2020

Competitive — 188K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	56.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	8.1%
▶Black / African American(12)	27.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.5%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.5%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	5.3%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	12.5%	40.9%
Catholic	8.9%	29.0%
Mainline Protestant	4.6%	15.2%
Other	2.8%	9.1%
Black Protestant	1.7%	5.7%
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	3.1%
Non-religious	69.5%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Harris+2.0
2020	Biden+4.1
2016	Trump+4.9
2012	Obama+4.9
2008	Obama+9.8
2004	Bush+13.8
2000	Bush+2.7
1996	Clinton+6.1
1992	Bush+0.5

View full election history →

Dover, DE is a metro area that has a population of 187,604. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+2.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Dover, DE Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	50.2%	48.2%	D+2.0	R+2.1
2020	51.2%	47.1%	D+4.1	D+9.0
2016	44.9%	49.8%	R+4.9	R+9.8
2012	51.7%	46.8%	D+4.9	R+4.9
2008	54.4%	44.6%	D+9.8	D+23.6
2004	42.6%	56.4%	R+13.8	R+11.1
2000	47.2%	49.9%	R+2.7	R+8.8
1996	46.7%	40.6%	D+6.1	D+6.6
1992	38.2%	38.7%	R+0.5	D+20.4
1988	39.2%	60.2%	R+20.9	D+8.2
1984	35.3%	64.5%	R+29.2	R+22.5
1980	43.1%	49.8%	R+6.7	R+20.0
1976	56.1%	42.8%	D+13.3	D+38.7
1972	36.6%	62.0%	R+25.4	R+17.2
1968	36.4%	44.5%	R+8.1	R+26.2
1964	58.9%	40.8%	D+18.0	D+17.8
1960	49.8%	49.5%	D+0.3	D+5.2
1956	47.2%	52.2%	R+5.0	R+3.6
1952	49.1%	50.4%	R+1.3	D+0.6
1948	48.7%	50.6%	R+1.9	—

Political Identity

What defines Dover, DE?

Dover, DE has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (4D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Warner Robins, GA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+10.5

Similarity score88%

Salisbury, MD

Educated rural competitive

R+7.5

Similarity score85%

Kingston, NY

Educated rural democratic

D+18.5

Similarity score83%

Charleston-North Charleston, SC

Educated rural competitive 2

R+4.3

Similarity score82%

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

Educated rural competitive 2

D+23.3

Similarity score82%

Huntsville, AL

Small-town rural republican 2

R+16.3

Similarity score82%

Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

Educated rural competitive 2

D+5.1

Similarity score81%

East Stroudsburg, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+0.8

Similarity score81%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Dover, DE

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Kent	188K	D+2.0	44,222	42,458	88,141	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 88,141

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Dover, DE's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Dover, DE metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
Closest recent contest: 2024 at just 2.0 points

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Dover, DECensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 56.5%Black 27.0%Hispanic 8.1%Multiracial 5.3%Asian 2.5%Native American 0.5%

Group	Dover, DE	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	56.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	27.0%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	8.1%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.3%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.5%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

30.5%(57.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -16.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	12.5%	40.9%	—	—
Catholic	8.9%	29.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.6%	15.2%	—	—
Other	2.8%	9.1%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.7%	5.7%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	3.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	69.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Dover, DE metro area? 187,604 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Dover, DE vs National188K residents

28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

188K

local

188KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.06%

local

0.06%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.9%

local

74.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$74,477

local

$74,477National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.6%

local

10.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.5%

local

27.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.5%

local

72.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.8 yrs

local

38.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.2%

local

16.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.3%

local

18.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.4%

local

7.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.4%

local

11.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.6%

local

88.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Dover, DE

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

62.7%

vs Previous

+0.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

140,602

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Dover, DE?

TossupAvg margin: D+0.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+9.8

2012

D+4.9

2016

R+4.9

2020

D+4.1

2024

D+2.0

Elasticity

14.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+3.2

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Dover, DE split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (59/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	D+5.8	D+0.5	5.3pp
President vs Senate	D+2.0	D+5.8	3.8pp
President vs Governor	D+2.0	D+0.5	1.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Dover, DE sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Delaware(State)

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