Warner Robins, GA
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 198K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 7.8% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 33.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.9% | 62.8% |
| Catholic | 4.8% | 11.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.6% | 10.8% |
| Black Protestant | 3.3% | 7.8% |
| Other | 3.2% | 7.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 57.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+10.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+18.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+28.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.3 |
Warner Robins, GA is a metro area that has a population of 198,209. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+10.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.4% | 55.0% | R+10.5 | D+0.8 |
| 2020 | 43.7% | 55.0% | R+11.3 | D+7.2 |
| 2016 | 38.8% | 57.4% | R+18.5 | R+2.6 |
| 2012 | 41.4% | 57.3% | R+15.9 | R+0.2 |
| 2008 | 41.7% | 57.4% | R+15.7 | D+13.0 |
| 2004 | 35.4% | 64.0% | R+28.6 | R+6.3 |
| 2000 | 38.2% | 60.5% | R+22.3 | R+13.8 |
| 1996 | 41.4% | 50.0% | R+8.6 | R+7.3 |
| 1992 | 40.1% | 41.4% | R+1.3 | D+21.4 |
| 1988 | 38.3% | 61.0% | R+22.7 | R+8.1 |
| 1984 | 42.7% | 57.3% | R+14.6 | R+28.9 |
| 1980 | 55.4% | 41.2% | D+14.2 | R+30.4 |
| 1976 | 72.3% | 27.7% | D+44.6 | D+100.0 |
| 1972 | 22.3% | 77.7% | R+55.4 | R+50.0 |
| 1968 | 22.8% | 28.3% | R+5.4 | D+13.1 |
| 1964 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.5 | R+57.7 |
| 1960 | 69.5% | 30.3% | D+39.2 | R+20.4 |
| 1956 | 79.7% | 20.1% | D+59.6 | R+6.3 |
| 1952 | 83.0% | 17.0% | D+65.9 | D+13.6 |
| 1948 | 63.7% | 11.3% | D+52.3 | — |
What defines Warner Robins, GA?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (50% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
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Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
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Columbia, SC
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Counties in Warner Robins, GA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Warner Robins, GA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 18.5pp to 10.5pp over the last 3 presidential elections
- Turnout increased by 5.2 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Warner Robins, GA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 33.7% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 7.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
42.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -56.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 62.8% | — | — | |
| 4.8% | 11.2% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 10.8% | — | — | |
| 3.3% | 7.8% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 7.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Warner Robins, GA metro area? 198,209 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
198K
Share of U.S. population
0.06%
Voting-age population
73.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$79,359
Poverty rate
12.0%
College degree
31.1%
Homeownership
67.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.6 yrs
Age 18–29
16.0%
Age 65+
14.1%
Foreign born
6.4%
Non-English at home
8.2%
English only
91.8%
Turnout in Warner Robins, GA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
65.2%
+5.2pp
145,697
1988–2024
How competitive is Warner Robins, GA?
Likely RAvg margin: R+13.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+15.7
2012
R+15.9
2016
R+18.5
2020
R+11.3
2024
R+10.5
8.0pp
0
R+14.4
Do voters in Warner Robins, GA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (55/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+10.2 | R+17.4 | 7.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.3pp
Located In
Warner Robins, GA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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