How did Hannibal, MO vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Hannibal, MO voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+54.8. Kamala D Harris received 4,186 votes and Donald Trump received 14,566 out of 18,930 total votes cast, a 2.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Hannibal, MO's political history?

Hannibal, MO has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 56.1 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Hannibal, MO?

Hannibal, MO has a population of 38,885 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 90.0% non-Hispanic white, 1.8% Hispanic, 3.5% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $63,548.

Which places are most similar to Hannibal, MO?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Hannibal, MO are Wilmington, OH, Greenville, OH, Ashland, OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Hannibal, MO

Latest: 2024↓ R+2.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 39K residents — 2 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(3)	1.8%
▶Black / African American(4)	3.5%
▶Asian(4)	0.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	3.8%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	27.3%	62.1%
Catholic	7.7%	17.5%
Mainline Protestant	6.8%	15.4%
Other	1.3%	2.9%
Black Protestant	0.9%	2.1%
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	2.0%
Non-religious	56.0%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+54.8
2020	Trump+52.1
2016	Trump+51.2
2012	Romney+31.3
2008	McCain+22.4
2004	Bush+24.0
2000	Bush+12.1
1996	Clinton+5.1
1992	Clinton+7.4

View full election history →

Hannibal, MO is a metro area that has a population of 38,885. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+54.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Hannibal, MO Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	22.1%	76.9%	R+54.8	R+2.7
2020	23.2%	75.3%	R+52.1	R+0.9
2016	22.9%	74.0%	R+51.2	R+19.9
2012	33.5%	64.9%	R+31.3	R+8.9
2008	38.2%	60.6%	R+22.4	D+1.6
2004	37.7%	61.8%	R+24.0	R+11.9
2000	43.2%	55.3%	R+12.1	R+17.2
1996	46.9%	41.7%	D+5.1	R+2.3
1992	45.2%	37.8%	D+7.4	R+3.3
1988	55.3%	44.5%	D+10.8	D+25.0
1984	42.9%	57.1%	R+14.3	R+14.0
1980	48.7%	49.0%	R+0.3	R+10.7
1976	55.0%	44.5%	D+10.5	D+34.4
1972	38.0%	62.0%	R+23.9	R+33.3
1968	49.0%	39.6%	D+9.4	R+34.6
1964	72.0%	28.0%	D+44.0	D+36.2
1960	53.9%	46.1%	D+7.8	R+7.2
1956	57.5%	42.5%	D+15.0	R+5.3
1952	60.1%	39.8%	D+20.3	R+23.7
1948	71.9%	27.9%	D+44.0	—

Political Identity

What defines Hannibal, MO?

Hannibal, MO has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Wilmington, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+54.6

Similarity score96%

Greenville, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+65.4

Similarity score96%

Ashland, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+50.0

Similarity score96%

Gallipolis, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+59.4

Similarity score95%

Sidney, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+64.8

Similarity score95%

Effingham, IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+60.7

Similarity score95%

Bradford, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+47.2

Similarity score95%

Mount Vernon, IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+47.7

Similarity score95%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Hannibal, MO

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Marion	28K	R+52.9	3,032	9,991	13,153	69.5%
Ralls	10K	R+59.2	1,154	4,575	5,777	30.5%

2 countiesTotal votes: 18,930

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Hannibal, MO's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Hannibal, MO metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 54.8% margin
Shifted 23.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Hannibal, MOCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 90.0%Multiracial 3.8%Black 3.5%Hispanic 1.8%Asian 0.6%

Group	Hannibal, MO	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.0%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	3.8%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(4)	3.5%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(3)	1.8%	19.3%
▶Asian(4)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

44.0%(17.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -49.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	27.3%	62.1%	—	—
Catholic	7.7%	17.5%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.8%	15.4%	—	—
Other	1.3%	2.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.9%	2.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	2.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	56.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Hannibal, MO metro area? 38,885 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Hannibal, MO vs National39K residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39K

local

39KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.3%

local

73.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$63,548

local

$63,548National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.6%

local

22.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.5%

local

73.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.3 yrs

local

41.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.1%

local

20.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.5%

local

0.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.9%

local

0.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

99.1%

local

99.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Hannibal, MO

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

66.4%

vs Previous

-0.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

28,518

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Hannibal, MO?

Safe RAvg margin: R+52.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+22.4

2012

R+31.3

2016

R+51.2

2020

R+52.1

2024

R+54.8

Elasticity

32.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+42.4

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Hannibal, MO split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (58/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+52.6	R+56.9	4.3pp
President vs Senate	R+54.8	R+52.6	2.3pp
President vs Governor	R+54.8	R+56.9	2.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Hannibal, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Missouri(State)

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