Fort Wayne, IN
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 455K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 8.2% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 9.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.8% | 47.7% |
| Catholic | 12.1% | 23.3% |
| Black Protestant | 6.4% | 12.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.0% | 11.6% |
| Other | 2.5% | 4.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 48.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+19.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+17.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+20.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+16.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.4 |
Fort Wayne, IN is a metro area that has a population of 455,416. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.5% | 58.7% | R+19.1 | R+1.5 |
| 2020 | 40.1% | 57.7% | R+17.7 | D+7.1 |
| 2016 | 34.5% | 59.3% | R+24.8 | R+4.1 |
| 2012 | 38.7% | 59.4% | R+20.7 | R+12.9 |
| 2008 | 45.6% | 53.4% | R+7.8 | D+22.5 |
| 2004 | 34.5% | 64.8% | R+30.2 | R+3.2 |
| 2000 | 35.7% | 62.8% | R+27.1 | R+10.5 |
| 1996 | 37.0% | 53.6% | R+16.6 | R+3.2 |
| 1992 | 31.9% | 45.3% | R+13.4 | D+18.4 |
| 1988 | 33.7% | 65.5% | R+31.8 | D+1.3 |
| 1984 | 33.1% | 66.1% | R+33.0 | R+8.1 |
| 1980 | 32.4% | 57.4% | R+25.0 | R+4.1 |
| 1976 | 38.8% | 59.7% | R+20.9 | D+12.0 |
| 1972 | 33.3% | 66.1% | R+32.9 | R+15.8 |
| 1968 | 37.1% | 54.2% | R+17.1 | R+20.6 |
| 1964 | 51.5% | 48.0% | D+3.5 | D+24.3 |
| 1960 | 39.4% | 60.2% | R+20.8 | D+15.1 |
| 1956 | 31.9% | 67.8% | R+35.9 | R+5.6 |
| 1952 | 34.4% | 64.6% | R+30.2 | R+23.0 |
| 1948 | 45.9% | 53.1% | R+7.2 | — |
What defines Fort Wayne, IN?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
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Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Educated rural competitive 2
Counties in Fort Wayne, IN
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Fort Wayne, IN's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Fort Wayne, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 9.2% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 8.2% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.6% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
52.0%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -28.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.8% | 47.7% | — | — | |
| 12.1% | 23.3% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 12.4% | — | — | |
| 6.0% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 4.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Fort Wayne, IN metro area? 455,416 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
455K
Share of U.S. population
0.14%
Voting-age population
73.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$71,380
Poverty rate
12.0%
College degree
30.3%
Homeownership
70.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.8 yrs
Age 18–29
15.8%
Age 65+
16.1%
Foreign born
6.9%
Non-English at home
11.0%
English only
89.0%
Turnout in Fort Wayne, IN
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
58.3%
-1.7pp
334,454
1988–2024
How competitive is Fort Wayne, IN?
Safe RAvg margin: R+20.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+7.8
2012
R+20.7
2016
R+24.8
2020
R+17.7
2024
R+19.1
17.0pp
0
R+18.0
Do voters in Fort Wayne, IN split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (4/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+22.5 | R+16.2 | 6.3pp |
| President vs Senate | R+19.1 | R+22.5 | 3.3pp |
| President vs Governor | R+19.1 | R+16.2 | 3.0pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 16.6pp
Located In
Fort Wayne, IN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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