Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 962K residents — 4 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 9.0% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 14.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.9% | 66.7% |
| Catholic | 7.6% | 13.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.4% | 10.9% |
| Black Protestant | 3.5% | 6.0% |
| Other | 1.7% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 41.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+33.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+28.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+32.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+31.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+28.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+21.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+23.8 |
Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC is a metro area that has a population of 961,939. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+33.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.7% | 65.7% | R+33.0 | R+4.4 |
| 2020 | 34.8% | 63.4% | R+28.6 | D+4.3 |
| 2016 | 30.9% | 63.9% | R+32.9 | R+1.2 |
| 2012 | 33.3% | 65.0% | R+31.7 | R+3.2 |
| 2008 | 34.9% | 63.4% | R+28.5 | D+6.3 |
| 2004 | 32.1% | 66.8% | R+34.8 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 31.9% | 65.6% | R+33.8 | R+11.9 |
| 1996 | 35.4% | 57.2% | R+21.9 | D+1.9 |
| 1992 | 31.5% | 55.2% | R+23.8 | D+16.1 |
| 1988 | 29.8% | 69.7% | R+39.9 | D+4.5 |
| 1984 | 27.5% | 71.9% | R+44.4 | R+37.1 |
| 1980 | 45.1% | 52.4% | R+7.4 | R+14.0 |
| 1976 | 52.9% | 46.2% | D+6.7 | D+66.2 |
| 1972 | 19.0% | 78.5% | R+59.5 | R+35.7 |
| 1968 | 21.4% | 45.2% | R+23.8 | R+9.9 |
| 1964 | 43.1% | 56.9% | R+13.9 | R+15.3 |
| 1960 | 50.7% | 49.3% | D+1.4 | R+22.6 |
| 1956 | 54.3% | 30.4% | D+24.0 | R+28.4 |
| 1952 | 54.5% | 2.2% | D+52.4 | D+23.9 |
| 1948 | 34.7% | 6.2% | D+28.5 | — |
What defines Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Knoxville, TN
Educated rural competitive 2
Birmingham, AL
Educated rural competitive 2
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Educated rural competitive 2
Jacksonville, FL
Educated rural competitive 2
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Small-town rural republican 2
Lynchburg, VA
Small-town rural republican 2
Boise City, ID
Educated rural competitive 2
Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN
Educated rural competitive 2
Counties in Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville | 548K | R+22.2 | 100,074 | 158,541 | 263,316 | 58.2% |
| Anderson | 210K | R+47.4 | 25,281 | 71,828 | 98,296 | 21.7% |
| Pickens | 135K | R+52.7 | 13,891 | 45,728 | 60,451 | 13.4% |
| Laurens | 69K | R+40.9 | 8,769 | 21,110 | 30,213 | 6.7% |
4 countiesTotal votes: 452,276
Ask the Historian
Explore Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 33.0% margin
- Swung 4.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 14.4% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 9.0% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
58.3%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -58.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.9% | 66.7% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 13.0% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 10.9% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 6.0% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 41.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC metro area? 961,939 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
962K
Share of U.S. population
0.29%
Voting-age population
75.3%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$71,162
Poverty rate
13.1%
College degree
34.6%
Homeownership
70.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.8 yrs
Age 18–29
16.3%
Age 65+
17.4%
Foreign born
6.6%
Non-English at home
9.5%
English only
90.5%
Turnout in Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
62.5%
+1.4pp
723,907
1988–2024
How competitive is Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC?
Safe RAvg margin: R+31.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+28.5
2012
R+31.7
2016
R+32.9
2020
R+28.6
2024
R+33.0
4.5pp
0
R+30.9
Do voters in Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (51/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+42.1 | R+32.9 | 9.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.9pp
Located In
Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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