Gainesville, TX
Safe Republican — 43K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 20.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.7% | 47.6% |
| Catholic | 28.6% | 42.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 5.3% |
| Other | 1.7% | 2.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 1.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 33.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+65.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+67.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+67.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+58.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+58.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+51.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+28.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+16.8 |
Gainesville, TX is a metro area that has a population of 43,046. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.8. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.2% | 83.0% | R+66.8 | R+1.6 |
| 2020 | 16.9% | 82.1% | R+65.2 | D+2.6 |
| 2016 | 14.7% | 82.6% | R+67.9 | R+0.2 |
| 2012 | 15.7% | 83.3% | R+67.6 | R+9.0 |
| 2008 | 20.3% | 78.9% | R+58.6 | R+0.6 |
| 2004 | 20.8% | 78.8% | R+58.0 | R+6.2 |
| 2000 | 23.4% | 75.2% | R+51.8 | R+23.0 |
| 1996 | 30.8% | 59.5% | R+28.8 | R+12.0 |
| 1992 | 23.7% | 40.5% | R+16.8 | D+9.2 |
| 1988 | 36.8% | 62.8% | R+26.0 | D+17.1 |
| 1984 | 28.3% | 71.4% | R+43.1 | R+16.1 |
| 1980 | 35.6% | 62.6% | R+27.0 | R+23.6 |
| 1976 | 48.1% | 51.5% | R+3.4 | D+53.7 |
| 1972 | 21.1% | 78.3% | R+57.2 | R+43.5 |
| 1968 | 34.2% | 48.0% | R+13.7 | R+27.1 |
| 1964 | 56.6% | 43.2% | D+13.4 | D+24.8 |
| 1960 | 44.1% | 55.5% | R+11.4 | D+17.9 |
| 1956 | 35.1% | 64.3% | R+29.2 | R+4.7 |
| 1952 | 37.7% | 62.2% | R+24.5 | R+65.2 |
| 1948 | 64.5% | 23.8% | D+40.7 | — |
What defines Gainesville, TX?
Gainesville, TX voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Gainesville, TX
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooke | 43K | R+66.8 | 3,310 | 16,975 | 20,447 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 66.8% margin
- College attainment is 24% — 9pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Gainesville, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 20.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -9.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.7% | 47.6% | — | — | |
| 28.6% | 42.9% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 5.3% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.6% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 1.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 33.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Gainesville, TX metro area? 43,046 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Gainesville, TX
How competitive is Gainesville, TX?
Do voters in Gainesville, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+66.8 | R+62.4 | 4.4pp |