Grand Rapids, MN
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 45K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 1.5% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.7% | 35.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.6% | 34.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.2% | 26.1% |
| Other | 1.6% | 4.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 60.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+16.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+16.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+9.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+12.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+10.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+17.6 |
Grand Rapids, MN is a metro area that has a population of 45,275. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.1. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.0% | 59.1% | R+20.1 | R+3.3 |
| 2020 | 40.6% | 57.4% | R+16.8 | R+0.4 |
| 2016 | 37.8% | 54.1% | R+16.4 | R+26.2 |
| 2012 | 53.7% | 43.9% | D+9.8 | R+3.1 |
| 2008 | 55.2% | 42.3% | D+12.9 | D+2.3 |
| 2004 | 54.5% | 43.9% | D+10.6 | D+5.8 |
| 2000 | 48.7% | 44.0% | D+4.8 | R+15.7 |
| 1996 | 52.3% | 31.8% | D+20.5 | D+2.9 |
| 1992 | 46.2% | 28.6% | D+17.6 | D+6.3 |
| 1988 | 55.2% | 43.9% | D+11.3 | D+1.1 |
| 1984 | 54.7% | 44.4% | D+10.3 | R+6.7 |
| 1980 | 54.6% | 37.6% | D+16.9 | R+14.3 |
| 1976 | 64.0% | 32.8% | D+31.2 | D+24.4 |
| 1972 | 52.4% | 45.6% | D+6.8 | R+27.9 |
| 1968 | 64.9% | 30.2% | D+34.6 | R+14.1 |
| 1964 | 74.3% | 25.5% | D+48.8 | D+25.0 |
| 1960 | 61.8% | 38.0% | D+23.8 | D+8.5 |
| 1956 | 57.6% | 42.2% | D+15.3 | R+0.8 |
| 1952 | 57.8% | 41.6% | D+16.2 | R+20.0 |
| 1948 | 65.6% | 29.5% | D+36.1 | — |
What defines Grand Rapids, MN?
Grand Rapids, MN has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Escanaba, MI
Small-town rural republican
Ludington, MI
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Rice Lake, WI
Small-town rural republican
Brainerd, MN
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Owosso, MI
Small-town rural republican 2
Bay City, MI
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Fergus Falls, MN
Small-town rural republican
Detroit Lakes, MN
Small-town rural republican 2
Counties in Grand Rapids, MN
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itasca | 45K | R+20.1 | 10,467 | 15,863 | 26,840 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 26,840
Ask the Historian
Explore Grand Rapids, MN's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.1% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 29.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Grand Rapids, MN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.4% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.2% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.6% | 0.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 1.5% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.8% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
39.2%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 35.1% | — | — | |
| 13.6% | 34.7% | — | — | |
| 10.2% | 26.1% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 4.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Grand Rapids, MN metro area? 45,275 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
45K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
77.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$68,603
Poverty rate
12.2%
College degree
25.9%
Homeownership
83.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
46.9 yrs
Age 18–29
11.2%
Age 65+
25.8%
Foreign born
0.9%
Non-English at home
1.9%
English only
98.1%
Turnout in Grand Rapids, MN
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
76.6%
+0.8pp
35,058
1988–2024
How competitive is Grand Rapids, MN?
Safe RAvg margin: R+17.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+12.9
2012
D+9.8
2016
R+16.4
2020
R+16.8
2024
R+20.1
33.0pp
1
R+6.1
Do voters in Grand Rapids, MN split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (66/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+20.1 | R+8.8 | 11.3pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 7.5pp
Located In
Grand Rapids, MN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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