Grants Pass, OR
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 88K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 8.8% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.8% | 54.4% |
| Other | 7.0% | 22.8% |
| Catholic | 5.3% | 17.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.6% | 15.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.8% | 5.8% |
| Non-religious | 69.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+28.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+25.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+30.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+21.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+28.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.9 |
Grants Pass, OR is a metro area that has a population of 88,179. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+28.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.1% | 62.7% | R+28.6 | R+2.9 |
| 2020 | 35.7% | 61.5% | R+25.8 | D+4.5 |
| 2016 | 30.2% | 60.4% | R+30.2 | R+8.6 |
| 2012 | 37.2% | 58.8% | R+21.7 | R+8.4 |
| 2008 | 41.4% | 54.6% | R+13.2 | D+12.9 |
| 2004 | 36.0% | 62.1% | R+26.1 | D+2.0 |
| 2000 | 32.3% | 60.4% | R+28.1 | R+12.7 |
| 1996 | 34.6% | 50.0% | R+15.4 | R+9.4 |
| 1992 | 32.8% | 38.7% | R+5.9 | D+13.2 |
| 1988 | 39.0% | 58.2% | R+19.2 | D+19.8 |
| 1984 | 30.4% | 69.4% | R+39.0 | R+2.1 |
| 1980 | 27.0% | 63.9% | R+36.9 | R+29.0 |
| 1976 | 42.9% | 50.8% | R+7.9 | D+20.6 |
| 1972 | 30.1% | 58.6% | R+28.5 | R+0.5 |
| 1968 | 29.7% | 57.6% | R+28.0 | R+27.5 |
| 1964 | 49.7% | 50.1% | R+0.4 | D+14.9 |
| 1960 | 42.2% | 57.6% | R+15.3 | D+8.9 |
| 1956 | 37.9% | 62.1% | R+24.2 | D+17.4 |
| 1952 | 28.8% | 70.4% | R+41.6 | R+21.6 |
| 1948 | 38.3% | 58.3% | R+20.0 | — |
What defines Grants Pass, OR?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Coos Bay-North Bend, OR
Small-town rural republican
Brookings, OR
Small-town rural republican
Roseburg, OR
Small-town rural republican
Homosassa Springs, FL
Small-town rural republican
Crossville, TN
Small-town rural republican
Mountain Home, AR
Small-town rural republican
Alpena, MI
Small-town rural republican
Ludington, MI
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Grants Pass, OR
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine | 88K | R+28.6 | 16,928 | 31,129 | 49,628 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 49,628
Ask the Historian
Explore Grants Pass, OR's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 28.6% margin
- College attainment is 20% — 13pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Grants Pass, OR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 8.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.4% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
30.9%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -41.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 54.4% | — | — | |
| 7.0% | 22.8% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 17.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.6% | 15.0% | — | — |
| 1.8% | 5.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 69.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Grants Pass, OR metro area? 88,179 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
88K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
79.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$60,098
Poverty rate
15.6%
College degree
19.7%
Homeownership
71.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
47.3 yrs
Age 18–29
11.2%
Age 65+
27.2%
Foreign born
3.8%
Non-English at home
5.8%
English only
94.2%
Turnout in Grants Pass, OR
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
71.1%
-2.9pp
69,802
1988–2024
How competitive is Grants Pass, OR?
Safe RAvg margin: R+28.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+13.2
2012
R+21.7
2016
R+30.2
2020
R+25.8
2024
R+28.6
17.0pp
0
R+23.9
Do voters in Grants Pass, OR split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (11/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+24.8 | R+37.2 | 12.3pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.6pp
Located In
Grants Pass, OR sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file