Mountain Home, AR
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 42K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 0.3% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.8% | 78.8% |
| Catholic | 4.4% | 9.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 7.4% |
| Other | 2.1% | 4.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Non-religious | 52.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+56.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+53.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+31.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+21.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.6 |
Mountain Home, AR is a metro area that has a population of 42,407. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+56.8. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, dating back to 1876.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.7% | 77.6% | R+56.8 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 22.1% | 75.4% | R+53.3 | D+1.1 |
| 2016 | 21.6% | 76.1% | R+54.5 | R+10.4 |
| 2012 | 26.7% | 70.8% | R+44.0 | R+12.4 |
| 2008 | 32.7% | 64.3% | R+31.6 | R+10.0 |
| 2004 | 38.5% | 60.1% | R+21.6 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 39.0% | 57.1% | R+18.1 | R+17.0 |
| 1996 | 43.2% | 44.4% | R+1.1 | R+9.7 |
| 1992 | 44.4% | 35.9% | D+8.6 | D+36.6 |
| 1988 | 35.4% | 63.4% | R+28.0 | D+12.8 |
| 1984 | 29.1% | 69.8% | R+40.7 | R+8.4 |
| 1980 | 31.6% | 63.9% | R+32.3 | R+31.3 |
| 1976 | 49.5% | 50.5% | R+1.0 | D+41.6 |
| 1972 | 28.0% | 70.6% | R+42.6 | R+21.5 |
| 1968 | 28.4% | 49.5% | R+21.1 | R+39.8 |
| 1964 | 59.3% | 40.6% | D+18.7 | D+29.4 |
| 1960 | 43.7% | 54.3% | R+10.7 | R+2.2 |
| 1956 | 45.5% | 53.9% | R+8.5 | R+8.5 |
| 1952 | 49.7% | 49.7% | Even | R+30.9 |
| 1948 | 62.4% | 31.4% | D+31.0 | — |
What defines Mountain Home, AR?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Crossville, TN
Small-town rural republican
Paris, TN
Small-town rural republican 3
Seneca, SC
Small-town rural republican
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Small-town rural republican
Forest City, NC
Small-town rural republican 3
Hot Springs, AR
Small-town rural republican 3
North Wilkesboro, NC
Small-town rural republican 3
Oil City, PA
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Mountain Home, AR
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baxter | 42K | R+56.9 | 4,341 | 16,253 | 20,954 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 20,954
Ask the Historian
Explore Mountain Home, AR's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 56.8% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 25.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Mountain Home, AR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 2.9% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 0.3% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
48.0%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -74.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 78.8% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 9.2% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 7.4% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 4.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.7% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 52.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Mountain Home, AR metro area? 42,407 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
42K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
81.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$48,452
Poverty rate
15.5%
College degree
19.4%
Homeownership
75.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
51.4 yrs
Age 18–29
10.6%
Age 65+
31.0%
Foreign born
2.1%
Non-English at home
3.0%
English only
97.0%
Turnout in Mountain Home, AR
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
60.8%
-0.2pp
34,448
1988–2024
How competitive is Mountain Home, AR?
Safe RAvg margin: R+54.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+31.6
2012
R+44.0
2016
R+54.5
2020
R+53.3
2024
R+56.8
25.3pp
0
R+48.1
Do voters in Mountain Home, AR split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+59.4 | R+56.2 | 3.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 26.5pp
Located In
Mountain Home, AR sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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