Roseburg, OR
Safe Republican — 112K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 6.6% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 1.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 18.1% | 59.8% |
| Other | 5.8% | 19.0% |
| Catholic | 3.9% | 12.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.7% | 12.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.5% | 5.0% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 3.4% |
| Non-religious | 69.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+37.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+37.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+38.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+20.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+34.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.6 |
Roseburg, OR is a metro area that has a population of 112,072. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+37.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.7% | 67.2% | R+37.5 | 0.0 |
| 2020 | 29.8% | 67.3% | R+37.5 | D+0.8 |
| 2016 | 26.3% | 64.6% | R+38.3 | R+10.9 |
| 2012 | 34.4% | 61.8% | R+27.4 | R+7.3 |
| 2008 | 38.3% | 58.4% | R+20.1 | D+12.4 |
| 2004 | 32.9% | 65.4% | R+32.5 | D+1.6 |
| 2000 | 30.1% | 64.2% | R+34.1 | R+18.7 |
| 1996 | 35.7% | 51.1% | R+15.4 | R+4.8 |
| 1992 | 30.8% | 41.5% | R+10.6 | R+3.2 |
| 1988 | 44.9% | 52.4% | R+7.5 | D+19.1 |
| 1984 | 36.5% | 63.1% | R+26.6 | D+0.1 |
| 1980 | 31.8% | 58.5% | R+26.7 | R+22.0 |
| 1976 | 45.4% | 50.0% | R+4.7 | D+20.3 |
| 1972 | 32.8% | 57.7% | R+25.0 | R+8.8 |
| 1968 | 35.2% | 51.4% | R+16.2 | R+39.9 |
| 1964 | 61.9% | 38.1% | D+23.7 | D+20.5 |
| 1960 | 51.6% | 48.4% | D+3.2 | D+11.1 |
| 1956 | 46.1% | 53.9% | R+7.8 | D+20.7 |
| 1952 | 35.6% | 64.1% | R+28.5 | R+12.5 |
| 1948 | 40.4% | 56.4% | R+15.9 | — |
What defines Roseburg, OR?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Roseburg, OR
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas | 112K | R+37.5 | 18,386 | 41,561 | 61,807 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 37.5% margin
- College attainment is 19% — 14pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Roseburg, OR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.2% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.8% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 6.6% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.3% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -51.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.1% | 59.8% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 19.0% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 12.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 3.7% | 12.0% | — | — |
| 1.5% | 5.0% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 3.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 69.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Roseburg, OR metro area? 112,072 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Roseburg, OR
How competitive is Roseburg, OR?
Do voters in Roseburg, OR split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+33.3 | R+46.3 | 13.0pp |