Green Bay, WI
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 331K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 8.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 31.5% | 58.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.5% | 27.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.1% | 11.4% |
| Other | 1.5% | 2.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 46.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+14.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+13.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+15.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+3.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+8.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+5.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.2 |
Green Bay, WI is a metro area that has a population of 331,145. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+14.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.3% | 56.3% | R+14.0 | R+0.7 |
| 2020 | 42.5% | 55.8% | R+13.3 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 39.3% | 54.5% | R+15.1 | R+12.2 |
| 2012 | 47.9% | 50.9% | R+3.0 | R+11.9 |
| 2008 | 53.8% | 44.9% | D+8.9 | D+19.0 |
| 2004 | 44.5% | 54.5% | R+10.1 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 45.4% | 50.5% | R+5.1 | R+10.8 |
| 1996 | 47.3% | 41.6% | D+5.7 | D+8.9 |
| 1992 | 36.7% | 40.0% | R+3.2 | R+1.5 |
| 1988 | 48.8% | 50.6% | R+1.8 | D+23.6 |
| 1984 | 37.0% | 62.3% | R+25.3 | R+4.7 |
| 1980 | 36.3% | 56.9% | R+20.6 | R+18.0 |
| 1976 | 47.3% | 50.0% | R+2.7 | D+14.4 |
| 1972 | 39.9% | 56.9% | R+17.1 | R+0.5 |
| 1968 | 37.5% | 54.0% | R+16.5 | R+35.6 |
| 1964 | 59.5% | 40.4% | D+19.1 | D+19.9 |
| 1960 | 49.5% | 50.4% | R+0.9 | D+38.0 |
| 1956 | 30.3% | 69.1% | R+38.8 | R+0.1 |
| 1952 | 30.5% | 69.2% | R+38.7 | R+37.2 |
| 1948 | 48.7% | 50.2% | R+1.5 | — |
What defines Green Bay, WI?
Green Bay, WI has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography.
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Counties in Green Bay, WI
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Green Bay, WI's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 24.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Turnout increased by 3.0 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Green Bay, WI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 8.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.9% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.1% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.7% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
53.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +27.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.5% | 58.7% | — | — | |
| 14.5% | 27.0% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 11.4% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 2.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Green Bay, WI metro area? 331,145 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
331K
Share of U.S. population
0.10%
Voting-age population
75.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$79,270
Poverty rate
8.9%
College degree
31.0%
Homeownership
69.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.7 yrs
Age 18–29
15.0%
Age 65+
17.5%
Foreign born
4.7%
Non-English at home
8.8%
English only
91.2%
Turnout in Green Bay, WI
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
75.0%
+3.0pp
249,131
1988–2024
How competitive is Green Bay, WI?
Likely RAvg margin: R+14.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+8.9
2012
R+3.0
2016
R+15.1
2020
R+13.3
2024
R+14.0
24.1pp
3
R+7.3
Do voters in Green Bay, WI split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (44/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+14.0 | R+12.1 | 1.9pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.0pp
Located In
Green Bay, WI sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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