Helena, MT
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 94K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 3.8% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 0.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 10.7% | 34.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.9% | 31.9% |
| Other | 6.0% | 19.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 5.0% | 16.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.4% | 14.1% |
| Non-religious | 69.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+15.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+12.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+14.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+10.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+18.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.0 |
Helena, MT is a metro area that has a population of 93,906. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+15.1. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.8% | 55.9% | R+15.1 | R+2.8 |
| 2020 | 42.4% | 54.6% | R+12.3 | D+1.8 |
| 2016 | 37.8% | 51.9% | R+14.1 | R+4.0 |
| 2012 | 43.5% | 53.7% | R+10.2 | R+10.6 |
| 2008 | 48.7% | 48.3% | D+0.4 | D+18.8 |
| 2004 | 39.7% | 58.1% | R+18.3 | D+4.6 |
| 2000 | 34.7% | 57.6% | R+23.0 | R+19.9 |
| 1996 | 41.8% | 44.9% | R+3.1 | R+7.1 |
| 1992 | 40.4% | 36.4% | D+4.0 | D+3.1 |
| 1988 | 49.5% | 48.5% | D+0.9 | D+24.4 |
| 1984 | 37.6% | 61.1% | R+23.5 | D+2.5 |
| 1980 | 31.8% | 57.8% | R+26.0 | R+15.0 |
| 1976 | 43.8% | 54.8% | R+11.0 | D+15.3 |
| 1972 | 35.3% | 61.6% | R+26.3 | R+9.9 |
| 1968 | 38.8% | 55.2% | R+16.4 | R+26.3 |
| 1964 | 54.9% | 44.9% | D+9.9 | D+18.3 |
| 1960 | 45.8% | 54.1% | R+8.3 | D+20.1 |
| 1956 | 35.8% | 64.2% | R+28.4 | R+2.3 |
| 1952 | 36.9% | 62.9% | R+26.1 | R+22.2 |
| 1948 | 46.7% | 50.6% | R+3.9 | — |
What defines Helena, MT?
Helena, MT has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a highly educated electorate (40% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Traverse City, MI
Small-town rural republican
Midland, MI
Small-town rural republican 2
Billings, MT
Small-town rural republican 2
Appleton, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Kill Devil Hills, NC
Small-town rural republican
Wilmington, NC
Small-town rural republican
Red Wing, MN
Small-town rural republican 2
Petoskey, MI
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Helena, MT
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis and Clark | 73K | R+5.7 | 19,085 | 21,479 | 42,023 | 76.2% |
| Jefferson | 13K | R+36.5 | 2,516 | 5,544 | 8,291 | 15.0% |
| Broadwater | 8K | R+60.0 | 885 | 3,770 | 4,810 | 8.7% |
3 countiesTotal votes: 55,124
Ask the Historian
Explore Helena, MT's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.4 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Helena, MT | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 3.8% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.3% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 0.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
30.9%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 34.4% | — | — | |
| 9.9% | 31.9% | — | — | |
| 6.0% | 19.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 5.0% | 16.0% | — | — |
| 4.4% | 14.1% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 69.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Helena, MT metro area? 93,906 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
40% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
94K
Share of U.S. population
0.03%
Voting-age population
77.1%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$79,877
Poverty rate
8.1%
College degree
40.3%
Homeownership
73.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
42.9 yrs
Age 18–29
12.6%
Age 65+
20.9%
Foreign born
1.7%
Non-English at home
2.6%
English only
97.4%
Turnout in Helena, MT
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
76.1%
+0.5pp
72,432
1988–2024
How competitive is Helena, MT?
Likely RAvg margin: R+13.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+0.4
2012
R+10.2
2016
R+14.1
2020
R+12.3
2024
R+15.1
15.5pp
2
R+10.2
Do voters in Helena, MT split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+15.1 | R+2.7 | 12.4pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+2.7 | R+14.5 | 11.8pp |
| President vs Governor | R+15.1 | R+14.5 | 0.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 17.1pp
Located In
Helena, MT sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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