Hattiesburg, MS
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 155K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 3.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 28.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 43.0% | 73.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.1% | 10.4% |
| Black Protestant | 3.9% | 6.6% |
| Catholic | 3.3% | 5.5% |
| Other | 2.6% | 4.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 3.1% |
| Non-religious | 41.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+30.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+34.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+32.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+34.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+40.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+36.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+25.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+25.3 |
Hattiesburg, MS is a metro area that has a population of 155,434. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+35.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.5% | 67.2% | R+35.7 | R+5.4 |
| 2020 | 33.9% | 64.2% | R+30.3 | D+4.5 |
| 2016 | 31.2% | 66.0% | R+34.8 | R+2.7 |
| 2012 | 33.4% | 65.4% | R+32.1 | D+2.4 |
| 2008 | 32.3% | 66.7% | R+34.4 | D+5.9 |
| 2004 | 29.5% | 69.8% | R+40.3 | R+3.7 |
| 2000 | 30.7% | 67.3% | R+36.7 | R+11.1 |
| 1996 | 33.7% | 59.2% | R+25.5 | R+0.2 |
| 1992 | 32.3% | 57.7% | R+25.3 | D+16.3 |
| 1988 | 28.9% | 70.5% | R+41.6 | D+2.9 |
| 1984 | 27.3% | 71.8% | R+44.5 | R+23.8 |
| 1980 | 38.8% | 59.5% | R+20.7 | R+9.6 |
| 1976 | 42.9% | 54.0% | R+11.1 | D+57.1 |
| 1972 | 14.5% | 82.6% | R+68.2 | R+66.9 |
| 1968 | 15.1% | 16.4% | R+1.3 | D+77.2 |
| 1964 | 10.8% | 89.2% | R+78.5 | R+69.6 |
| 1960 | 26.3% | 35.1% | R+8.8 | R+12.0 |
| 1956 | 37.5% | 34.3% | D+3.2 | D+12.7 |
| 1952 | 45.2% | 54.8% | R+9.5 | R+13.8 |
| 1948 | 7.1% | 2.8% | D+4.3 | — |
What defines Hattiesburg, MS?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Hattiesburg, MS
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Hattiesburg, MS's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 35.7% margin
- Turnout decreased by 3.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Hattiesburg, MS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 28.2% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 3.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
58.9%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -72.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.0% | 73.0% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 10.4% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 6.6% | — | — | |
| 3.3% | 5.5% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 4.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 3.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 41.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hattiesburg, MS metro area? 155,434 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
155K
Share of U.S. population
0.05%
Voting-age population
73.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$60,617
Poverty rate
18.1%
College degree
30.9%
Homeownership
64.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
35.2 yrs
Age 18–29
19.3%
Age 65+
14.8%
Foreign born
2.7%
Non-English at home
3.9%
English only
96.1%
Turnout in Hattiesburg, MS
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
54.3%
-3.5pp
114,502
1988–2024
How competitive is Hattiesburg, MS?
Safe RAvg margin: R+33.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+34.4
2012
R+32.1
2016
R+34.8
2020
R+30.3
2024
R+35.7
5.4pp
0
R+33.5
Do voters in Hattiesburg, MS split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (68/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+35.7 | R+37.8 | 2.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 7.1pp
Located In
Hattiesburg, MS sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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