Tupelo, MS
Safe Republican — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 132K residents — 3 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 22.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.4% | 71.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.7% | 13.1% |
| Black Protestant | 6.2% | 10.5% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.4% |
| Catholic | 1.1% | 1.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 41.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+51.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+25.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+15.0 |
Tupelo, MS is a metro area that has a population of 132,254. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+51.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.7% | 75.3% | R+51.6 | R+6.4 |
| 2020 | 26.7% | 71.8% | R+45.2 | D+2.7 |
| 2016 | 25.2% | 73.0% | R+47.8 | R+11.6 |
| 2012 | 31.3% | 67.5% | R+36.2 | D+1.3 |
| 2008 | 30.7% | 68.1% | R+37.5 | R+2.9 |
| 2004 | 32.3% | 66.9% | R+34.5 | R+9.3 |
| 2000 | 36.6% | 61.9% | R+25.3 | R+13.4 |
| 1996 | 40.2% | 52.1% | R+11.9 | D+3.1 |
| 1992 | 37.1% | 52.1% | R+15.0 | D+11.1 |
| 1988 | 36.3% | 62.4% | R+26.1 | D+5.4 |
| 1984 | 33.9% | 65.4% | R+31.5 | R+46.5 |
| 1980 | 56.5% | 41.5% | D+15.0 | R+3.4 |
| 1976 | 58.0% | 39.6% | D+18.4 | D+93.3 |
| 1972 | 11.0% | 85.9% | R+74.9 | R+70.8 |
| 1968 | 10.6% | 14.6% | R+4.0 | D+31.7 |
| 1964 | 32.2% | 67.8% | R+35.7 | R+72.2 |
| 1960 | 57.9% | 21.4% | D+36.5 | R+27.3 |
| 1956 | 79.6% | 15.8% | D+63.8 | D+17.0 |
| 1952 | 73.4% | 26.6% | D+46.8 | D+23.8 |
| 1948 | 25.8% | 2.8% | D+23.0 | — |
What defines Tupelo, MS?
Tupelo, MS voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Tupelo, MS
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 51.6% margin
- College attainment is 25% — 8pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Tupelo, MS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 22.2% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 2.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -74.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 71.9% | — | — | |
| 7.7% | 13.1% | — | — | |
| 6.2% | 10.5% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.4% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 1.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.3% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 41.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Tupelo, MS metro area? 132,254 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Tupelo, MS
How competitive is Tupelo, MS?
Do voters in Tupelo, MS split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+51.6 | R+52.4 | 0.8pp |