Hinesville, GA
Leans Democratic — shifted 7.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 86K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 40.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 12.8% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 38.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 18.6% | 57.5% |
| Black Protestant | 9.7% | 30.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.7% | 5.4% |
| Other | 1.2% | 3.7% |
| Catholic | 1.0% | 3.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 67.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+6.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+13.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+10.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+20.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+19.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+3.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.9 |
Hinesville, GA is a metro area that has a population of 85,771. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+6.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.0% | 46.5% | D+6.4 | R+7.1 |
| 2020 | 56.0% | 42.5% | D+13.5 | D+2.9 |
| 2016 | 53.5% | 42.9% | D+10.6 | R+9.6 |
| 2012 | 59.5% | 39.3% | D+20.1 | D+0.9 |
| 2008 | 59.2% | 40.0% | D+19.2 | D+22.2 |
| 2004 | 48.3% | 51.3% | R+3.0 | R+7.4 |
| 2000 | 51.5% | 47.0% | D+4.5 | R+11.0 |
| 1996 | 53.4% | 37.9% | D+15.5 | D+3.6 |
| 1992 | 48.0% | 36.0% | D+11.9 | D+16.8 |
| 1988 | 47.2% | 52.1% | R+4.9 | D+4.0 |
| 1984 | 45.5% | 54.5% | R+8.9 | R+44.4 |
| 1980 | 66.9% | 31.5% | D+35.5 | R+22.9 |
| 1976 | 79.2% | 20.8% | D+58.4 | D+94.6 |
| 1972 | 31.9% | 68.1% | R+36.2 | R+62.6 |
| 1968 | 40.5% | 14.1% | D+26.4 | R+8.7 |
| 1964 | 67.6% | 32.4% | D+35.1 | D+34.0 |
| 1960 | 50.6% | 49.4% | D+1.1 | R+24.0 |
| 1956 | 62.6% | 37.4% | D+25.2 | R+13.9 |
| 1952 | 69.5% | 30.5% | D+39.1 | R+19.5 |
| 1948 | 67.1% | 8.5% | D+58.6 | — |
What defines Hinesville, GA?
Hinesville, GA has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a plurality-minority electorate (60% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Hinesville, GA
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- College attainment is 19% — 14pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Hinesville, GA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 40.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 38.4% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 12.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.5% | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -58.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 57.5% | — | — | |
| 9.7% | 30.2% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 5.4% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 3.7% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 3.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 67.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hinesville, GA metro area? 85,771 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Hinesville, GA
How competitive is Hinesville, GA?
Do voters in Hinesville, GA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+14.7 | D+8.4 | 6.3pp |