Jacksonville, TX
Safe Republican — shifted 6.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 52K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 23.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 12.8% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.7% | 61.5% |
| Catholic | 10.4% | 18.0% |
| Black Protestant | 5.4% | 9.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.1% | 8.8% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.3% |
| Non-religious | 41.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+62.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+55.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+56.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+51.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+43.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+10.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.0 |
Jacksonville, TX is a metro area that has a population of 51,886. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+62.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.3% | 80.9% | R+62.7 | R+6.8 |
| 2020 | 21.6% | 77.4% | R+55.8 | D+0.5 |
| 2016 | 20.7% | 76.9% | R+56.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2012 | 24.0% | 75.0% | R+51.0 | R+7.8 |
| 2008 | 28.1% | 71.2% | R+43.2 | D+0.3 |
| 2004 | 28.0% | 71.5% | R+43.5 | R+10.2 |
| 2000 | 32.7% | 66.0% | R+33.3 | R+23.1 |
| 1996 | 40.8% | 51.1% | R+10.2 | R+4.3 |
| 1992 | 35.4% | 41.4% | R+6.0 | D+8.6 |
| 1988 | 42.6% | 57.1% | R+14.6 | D+14.5 |
| 1984 | 35.4% | 64.4% | R+29.1 | R+29.9 |
| 1980 | 49.9% | 49.0% | D+0.8 | R+23.9 |
| 1976 | 62.2% | 37.5% | D+24.7 | D+64.3 |
| 1972 | 29.8% | 69.3% | R+39.5 | R+46.5 |
| 1968 | 33.7% | 26.8% | D+6.9 | R+21.7 |
| 1964 | 64.2% | 35.6% | D+28.6 | D+12.0 |
| 1960 | 57.7% | 41.0% | D+16.6 | D+32.6 |
| 1956 | 41.8% | 57.8% | R+15.9 | R+16.5 |
| 1952 | 50.2% | 49.6% | D+0.6 | R+39.5 |
| 1948 | 64.1% | 24.0% | D+40.1 | — |
What defines Jacksonville, TX?
It has a working-class electorate (19% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Jacksonville, TX
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherokee | 52K | R+62.7 | 3,744 | 16,593 | 20,507 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 62.7% margin
- College attainment is 19% — 14pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Jacksonville, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 23.9% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 12.8% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.5% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -48.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.7% | 61.5% | — | — | |
| 10.4% | 18.0% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 9.3% | — | — | |
| 5.1% | 8.8% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 41.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Jacksonville, TX metro area? 51,886 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Jacksonville, TX
How competitive is Jacksonville, TX?
Do voters in Jacksonville, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+62.7 | R+59.6 | 3.1pp |