Shelbyville, TN
Safe Republican — shifted 6.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 52K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 16.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 6.4% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.9% | 72.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 10.7% |
| Catholic | 3.1% | 7.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 5.2% |
| Other | 1.4% | 3.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 60.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+58.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+40.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+1.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+18.8 |
Shelbyville, TN is a metro area that has a population of 52,237. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+58.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.5% | 78.5% | R+58.0 | R+6.1 |
| 2020 | 23.3% | 75.2% | R+51.9 | D+0.8 |
| 2016 | 22.1% | 74.8% | R+52.7 | R+12.4 |
| 2012 | 29.2% | 69.5% | R+40.3 | R+6.8 |
| 2008 | 32.4% | 65.9% | R+33.5 | R+11.0 |
| 2004 | 38.4% | 60.9% | R+22.5 | R+24.3 |
| 2000 | 50.3% | 48.4% | D+1.8 | R+7.9 |
| 1996 | 50.8% | 41.1% | D+9.8 | R+9.0 |
| 1992 | 52.3% | 33.6% | D+18.8 | D+27.8 |
| 1988 | 45.3% | 54.3% | R+9.1 | R+6.9 |
| 1984 | 48.4% | 50.5% | R+2.2 | R+29.4 |
| 1980 | 62.5% | 35.2% | D+27.2 | R+13.4 |
| 1976 | 69.8% | 29.2% | D+40.6 | D+64.4 |
| 1972 | 35.9% | 59.7% | R+23.8 | R+30.3 |
| 1968 | 28.8% | 22.3% | D+6.5 | R+35.8 |
| 1964 | 71.2% | 28.8% | D+42.3 | D+16.8 |
| 1960 | 62.3% | 36.8% | D+25.5 | R+7.6 |
| 1956 | 66.2% | 33.1% | D+33.1 | D+8.0 |
| 1952 | 62.6% | 37.4% | D+25.1 | R+12.6 |
| 1948 | 55.6% | 17.9% | D+37.7 | — |
What defines Shelbyville, TN?
It has a working-class electorate (17% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Shelbyville, TN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford | 52K | R+58.0 | 4,122 | 15,772 | 20,090 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 58.0% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 24.5 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Shelbyville, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 16.0% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 6.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -69.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.9% | 72.7% | — | — | |
| 4.3% | 10.7% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 7.8% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 5.2% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 3.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Shelbyville, TN metro area? 52,237 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Shelbyville, TN
How competitive is Shelbyville, TN?
Do voters in Shelbyville, TN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+58.0 | R+56.3 | 1.7pp |