How did Johnstown, PA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Johnstown, PA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+39.7. Kamala D Harris received 21,177 votes and Donald Trump received 49,408 out of 71,136 total votes cast, a 2.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Johnstown, PA's political history?

Johnstown, PA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 24 and Republicans 16 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 39.0 points in 1912.

What are the demographics of Johnstown, PA?

Johnstown, PA has a population of 131,538 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 90.2% non-Hispanic white, 2.1% Hispanic, 3.1% Black. About 24% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $58,418.

Which places are most similar to Johnstown, PA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Johnstown, PA are Meadville, PA, DuBois, PA, Somerset, PA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Johnstown, PA

Latest: 2024↓ R+2.3 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 132K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)	2.1%
▶Black / African American(4)	3.1%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.5%
Multiracial / Other	4.0%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	35.2%	54.3%
Mainline Protestant	14.7%	22.7%
Evangelical Protestant	11.8%	18.3%
Black Protestant	1.3%	2.1%
Orthodox Christian	1.0%	1.5%
Other	0.7%	1.1%
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.6%
Non-religious	35.2%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+39.7
2020	Trump+37.3
2016	Trump+36.8
2012	Romney+18.0
2008	Obama+0.7
2004	Bush+2.2
2000	Gore+3.8
1996	Clinton+17.0
1992	Clinton+20.4

View full election history →

Johnstown, PA is a metro area that has a population of 131,538. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+39.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Johnstown, PA Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	29.8%	69.5%	R+39.7	R+2.3
2020	30.8%	68.1%	R+37.3	R+0.6
2016	29.7%	66.5%	R+36.8	R+18.8
2012	40.1%	58.1%	R+18.0	R+18.7
2008	49.2%	48.5%	D+0.7	D+2.9
2004	48.7%	50.8%	R+2.2	R+6.0
2000	50.3%	46.4%	D+3.8	R+13.1
1996	51.3%	34.3%	D+17.0	R+3.5
1992	51.7%	31.3%	D+20.4	D+0.5
1988	59.7%	39.7%	D+20.0	D+9.3
1984	55.1%	44.5%	D+10.6	D+6.4
1980	50.1%	45.8%	D+4.2	R+4.5
1976	53.8%	45.0%	D+8.8	D+30.5
1972	38.3%	60.1%	R+21.8	R+31.8
1968	52.1%	42.0%	D+10.0	R+25.4
1964	67.6%	32.2%	D+35.4	D+18.3
1960	58.5%	41.4%	D+17.1	D+22.4
1956	47.3%	52.5%	R+5.2	R+18.0
1952	56.3%	43.5%	D+12.7	R+6.9
1948	59.0%	39.4%	D+19.6	—

Political Identity

What defines Johnstown, PA?

Johnstown, PA has been trending Republican — 22pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Meadville, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+39.3

Similarity score98%

DuBois, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+51.5

Similarity score97%

Somerset, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+57.2

Similarity score97%

Marietta, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.8

Similarity score97%

Oil City, PA

Small-town rural republican

R+42.1

Similarity score96%

Hermitage, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+30.2

Similarity score96%

Warren, PA

Small-town rural republican

R+39.3

Similarity score96%

Altoona, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.5

Similarity score95%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Johnstown, PA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cambria	132K	R+39.7	21,177	49,408	71,136	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 71,136

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Johnstown, PA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Johnstown, PA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 39.7% margin
The 2008 election was decided by just 0.7 points — razor-thin
Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Johnstown, PACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 90.2%Multiracial 4.0%Black 3.1%Hispanic 2.1%Asian 0.6%

Group	Johnstown, PA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.2%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	4.0%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(4)	3.1%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)	2.1%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.5%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

64.8%(85.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +31.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	35.2%	54.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	14.7%	22.7%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	11.8%	18.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.3%	2.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	1.0%	1.5%	—	—
Other	0.7%	1.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	35.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Johnstown, PA metro area? 131,538 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Johnstown, PA vs National132K residents

24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

132K

local

132KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.9%

local

75.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$58,418

local

$58,418National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.2%

local

14.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.9%

local

23.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.4%

local

76.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

45.6 yrs

local

45.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.0%

local

14.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.9%

local

23.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.1%

local

1.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.6%

local

2.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.4%

local

97.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Johnstown, PA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

71.3%

vs Previous

+0.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

99,783

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Johnstown, PA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+37.9 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+0.7

2012

R+18.0

2016

R+36.8

2020

R+37.3

2024

R+39.7

Elasticity

40.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+26.2

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Johnstown, PA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (58/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+39.7	R+33.2	6.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Johnstown, PA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Pennsylvania(State)

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