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Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR

Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR

Latest: 2024↓ R+2.3 vs 2020

Leans Republican — 759K residents — 6 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
63.1%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)
7.2%
▶Black / African American(12)
23.6%
▶Asian(6)
1.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)
0.3%
Multiracial / Other
4.1%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant31.7%59.1%
Black Protestant8.3%15.6%
Mainline Protestant6.5%12.2%
Catholic4.8%8.9%
Other2.2%4.1%
LDS (Mormon)0.8%1.5%
Non-religious46.4%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Trump+10.1
2020Trump+7.9
2016Trump+10.2
2012Romney+11.3
2008McCain+9.3
2004Bush+3.9
2000Bush+1.2
1996Clinton+18.4
1992Clinton+19.3
View full election history →

Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR is a metro area that has a population of 758,629. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+10.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202443.7%53.9%R+10.1R+2.3
202044.7%52.6%R+7.9D+2.4
201643.4%53.6%R+10.2D+1.1
201243.2%54.5%R+11.3R+2.0
200844.5%53.7%R+9.3R+5.4
200447.6%51.5%R+3.9R+2.7
200048.0%49.2%R+1.2R+19.6
199655.4%37.0%D+18.4R+0.9
199255.4%36.1%D+19.3D+32.7
198842.6%56.0%R+13.4D+6.2
198439.5%59.2%R+19.6R+23.7
198049.5%45.4%D+4.1R+29.4
197666.7%33.1%D+33.5D+60.1
197236.6%63.1%R+26.6R+29.0
196832.7%30.3%D+2.4R+4.7
196453.3%46.1%D+7.1R+12.6
196053.6%33.9%D+19.7D+17.3
195650.1%47.7%D+2.4R+9.1
195255.4%43.9%D+11.5R+26.7
194859.1%21.0%D+38.1—
Political Identity

What defines Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR?

It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer
Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Pulaski400K
D+22.1
92,03857,977153,92449.8%
Faulkner128K
R+32.3
17,75235,35754,46517.6%
Saline127K
R+40.1
16,60939,73657,60918.6%
Lonoke75K
R+53.7
6,79023,22530,6209.9%
Grant18K
R+68.9
1,1926,7558,0782.6%
Perry10K
R+57.5
9233,5594,5841.5%
6 countiesTotal votes: 309,280
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Has changed party control 6 times across its presidential election history
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, ARCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 63.1%Black 23.6%Hispanic 7.2%Multiracial 4.1%Asian 1.6%
GroupLocalNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
63.1%57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)
23.6%12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)
7.2%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
4.1%4.0%
▶Asian(6)
1.6%6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
0.3%0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)
0.3%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
53.6%(406.6K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -54.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Evangelical Protestant
31.7%59.1%——
Black Protestant
8.3%15.6%——
Mainline Protestant
6.5%12.2%——
Catholic
4.8%8.9%——
Other
2.2%4.1%——
LDS (Mormon)
0.8%1.5%——
Non-religiousPopulation
46.4%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR metro area? 758,629 residents across 6 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR vs National759K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
759K
local
759KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.23%
local
0.23%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
74.7%
local
74.7%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$67,191
local
$67,191National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.3%
local
14.3%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
33.7%
local
33.7%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
63.7%
local
63.7%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
37.7 yrs
local
37.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.2%
local
16.2%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.4%
local
16.4%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
4.8%
local
4.8%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
7.6%
local
7.6%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
92.4%
local
92.4%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
54.6%
vs Previous
-2.7pp
Voting-Age Pop
566,948
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR?

Lean RAvg margin: R+9.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+9.3
2012
R+11.3
2016
R+10.2
2020
R+7.9
2024
R+10.1
Elasticity
3.5pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+9.8
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)
2022 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
Senate vs GovernorR+16.1R+7.38.8pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 28.2pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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