Middlesborough, KY
Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 24K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 92.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 0.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.0% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 78.3% | 90.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.6% | 5.3% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| Catholic | 1.5% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 13.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+68.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+63.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+62.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+51.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+40.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+11.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+10.7 |
Middlesborough, KY is a metro area that has a population of 23,509. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+68.7. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, dating back to 1876.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.2% | 83.8% | R+68.7 | R+5.4 |
| 2020 | 17.8% | 81.0% | R+63.2 | R+1.0 |
| 2016 | 17.7% | 79.9% | R+62.2 | R+10.5 |
| 2012 | 23.5% | 75.2% | R+51.7 | R+11.1 |
| 2008 | 29.0% | 69.6% | R+40.6 | R+17.8 |
| 2004 | 38.3% | 61.1% | R+22.8 | R+15.3 |
| 2000 | 45.1% | 52.6% | R+7.5 | R+18.9 |
| 1996 | 50.5% | 39.1% | D+11.4 | D+0.7 |
| 1992 | 49.6% | 38.9% | D+10.7 | D+15.9 |
| 1988 | 46.3% | 51.5% | R+5.2 | D+8.4 |
| 1984 | 42.4% | 55.9% | R+13.6 | R+21.3 |
| 1980 | 52.6% | 44.9% | D+7.7 | D+5.3 |
| 1976 | 50.4% | 48.0% | D+2.4 | D+35.8 |
| 1972 | 32.6% | 66.1% | R+33.4 | R+26.0 |
| 1968 | 40.3% | 47.7% | R+7.5 | R+32.4 |
| 1964 | 62.2% | 37.3% | D+24.9 | D+38.4 |
| 1960 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.5 | D+7.2 |
| 1956 | 39.6% | 60.3% | R+20.7 | R+10.7 |
| 1952 | 44.9% | 54.9% | R+10.1 | R+23.7 |
| 1948 | 56.4% | 42.7% | D+13.6 | — |
What defines Middlesborough, KY?
Middlesborough, KY has been trending Republican — 17pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Middlesborough, KY
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bell | 24K | R+68.7 | 1,419 | 7,831 | 9,340 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 68.7% margin
- Shifted 16.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Middlesborough, KY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 92.6% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.0% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 0.5% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -93.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78.3% | 90.2% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 5.3% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 2.7% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 1.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 13.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Middlesborough, KY metro area? 23,509 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Middlesborough, KY
How competitive is Middlesborough, KY?
Do voters in Middlesborough, KY split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+63.2 | R+52.1 | 11.1pp |