Hot Springs, AR
Safe Republican — 100K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 7.5% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 7.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.6% | 63.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.0% | 15.7% |
| Catholic | 5.2% | 10.2% |
| Black Protestant | 2.7% | 5.2% |
| Other | 2.6% | 5.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 48.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+36.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+34.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+35.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+30.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+25.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+9.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.5 |
Hot Springs, AR is a metro area that has a population of 100,035. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+36.3. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, dating back to 1876.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.7% | 67.0% | R+36.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2020 | 31.8% | 65.8% | R+34.0 | D+1.0 |
| 2016 | 31.3% | 66.2% | R+35.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2012 | 33.9% | 63.9% | R+30.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2008 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 | R+15.8 |
| 2004 | 44.9% | 54.1% | R+9.2 | R+0.1 |
| 2000 | 44.1% | 53.1% | R+9.1 | R+24.4 |
| 1996 | 53.1% | 37.7% | D+15.3 | R+1.1 |
| 1992 | 52.3% | 35.8% | D+16.5 | D+41.3 |
| 1988 | 36.0% | 60.9% | R+24.9 | D+3.8 |
| 1984 | 33.8% | 62.5% | R+28.7 | R+17.8 |
| 1980 | 42.1% | 53.0% | R+10.8 | R+31.2 |
| 1976 | 60.0% | 39.7% | D+20.3 | D+69.5 |
| 1972 | 24.7% | 73.9% | R+49.2 | R+39.3 |
| 1968 | 27.9% | 37.8% | R+10.0 | R+17.5 |
| 1964 | 53.6% | 46.0% | D+7.6 | D+13.8 |
| 1960 | 45.4% | 51.7% | R+6.2 | D+20.2 |
| 1956 | 36.1% | 62.5% | R+26.5 | R+5.9 |
| 1952 | 39.5% | 60.1% | R+20.5 | R+41.2 |
| 1948 | 52.6% | 32.0% | D+20.7 | — |
What defines Hot Springs, AR?
Hot Springs, AR voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Hot Springs, AR
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garland | 100K | R+36.3 | 13,015 | 28,359 | 42,327 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 36.3% margin
Who Lives Here
| Group | Hot Springs, AR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 7.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 7.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -58.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 63.7% | — | — | |
| 8.0% | 15.7% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 10.2% | — | — | |
| 2.7% | 5.2% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 5.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hot Springs, AR metro area? 100,035 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Hot Springs, AR
How competitive is Hot Springs, AR?
Do voters in Hot Springs, AR split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+40.8 | R+35.2 | 5.6pp |