Paris, TN
Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 32K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 85.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 3.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 6.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.3% | 74.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.6% | 12.6% |
| Black Protestant | 4.0% | 6.6% |
| Catholic | 2.0% | 3.2% |
| Other | 1.7% | 2.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 39.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+55.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+30.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+1.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+16.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+25.9 |
Paris, TN is a metro area that has a population of 32,412. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+55.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.8% | 77.1% | R+55.3 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 23.6% | 74.7% | R+51.1 | R+1.3 |
| 2016 | 23.7% | 73.4% | R+49.8 | R+19.5 |
| 2012 | 34.1% | 64.3% | R+30.3 | R+7.9 |
| 2008 | 38.0% | 60.4% | R+22.4 | R+10.2 |
| 2004 | 43.5% | 55.7% | R+12.2 | R+13.4 |
| 2000 | 49.5% | 48.3% | D+1.2 | R+15.1 |
| 1996 | 53.5% | 37.1% | D+16.4 | R+9.6 |
| 1992 | 56.2% | 30.3% | D+25.9 | D+22.4 |
| 1988 | 51.5% | 48.0% | D+3.5 | D+3.3 |
| 1984 | 49.9% | 49.6% | D+0.3 | R+20.3 |
| 1980 | 59.1% | 38.5% | D+20.6 | R+25.7 |
| 1976 | 72.5% | 26.2% | D+46.3 | D+71.5 |
| 1972 | 35.4% | 60.6% | R+25.2 | R+37.7 |
| 1968 | 36.4% | 23.9% | D+12.5 | R+31.9 |
| 1964 | 72.2% | 27.8% | D+44.4 | D+19.9 |
| 1960 | 61.5% | 36.9% | D+24.5 | R+16.2 |
| 1956 | 69.7% | 29.0% | D+40.8 | D+0.7 |
| 1952 | 69.8% | 29.8% | D+40.0 | R+22.8 |
| 1948 | 77.0% | 14.1% | D+62.9 | — |
What defines Paris, TN?
Paris, TN has been trending Republican — 25pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Paris, TN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry | 32K | R+55.3 | 3,286 | 11,629 | 15,076 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 55.3% margin
- Shifted 25.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Paris, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 85.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 6.6% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 3.0% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -76.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 74.8% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 12.6% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 6.6% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 39.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Paris, TN metro area? 32,412 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Paris, TN
How competitive is Paris, TN?
Do voters in Paris, TN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+55.3 | R+55.2 | 0.1pp |