New Philadelphia-Dover, OH
Safe Republican — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 92K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 4.7% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.6% | 48.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 14.4% | 28.6% |
| Catholic | 9.5% | 19.0% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 49.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+43.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+39.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+34.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+11.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.4 |
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH is a metro area that has a population of 92,385. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+43.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.0% | 71.2% | R+43.3 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.9 | R+5.0 |
| 2016 | 28.9% | 63.9% | R+34.9 | R+25.7 |
| 2012 | 44.1% | 53.3% | R+9.2 | R+11.6 |
| 2008 | 49.9% | 47.5% | D+2.4 | D+14.0 |
| 2004 | 43.9% | 55.5% | R+11.6 | R+1.7 |
| 2000 | 42.8% | 52.7% | R+9.9 | R+15.2 |
| 1996 | 43.9% | 38.5% | D+5.3 | D+1.0 |
| 1992 | 40.1% | 35.7% | D+4.4 | D+13.7 |
| 1988 | 44.9% | 54.3% | R+9.4 | D+9.6 |
| 1984 | 40.1% | 59.1% | R+19.0 | R+7.0 |
| 1980 | 40.3% | 52.2% | R+11.9 | R+20.1 |
| 1976 | 53.0% | 44.8% | D+8.2 | D+27.9 |
| 1972 | 39.3% | 59.1% | R+19.8 | R+24.4 |
| 1968 | 48.1% | 43.4% | D+4.7 | R+36.0 |
| 1964 | 70.3% | 29.7% | D+40.7 | D+53.1 |
| 1960 | 43.8% | 56.2% | R+12.4 | D+8.9 |
| 1956 | 39.4% | 60.6% | R+21.3 | R+14.7 |
| 1952 | 46.7% | 53.3% | R+6.5 | R+17.5 |
| 1948 | 55.2% | 44.3% | D+10.9 | — |
What defines New Philadelphia-Dover, OH?
New Philadelphia-Dover, OH has been trending Republican — 34pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuscarawas | 92K | R+43.3 | 12,032 | 30,652 | 43,023 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 43.3% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 34.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 4.7% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.7% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -34.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 48.9% | — | — | |
| 14.4% | 28.6% | — | — | |
| 9.5% | 19.0% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the New Philadelphia-Dover, OH metro area? 92,385 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH
How competitive is New Philadelphia-Dover, OH?
Do voters in New Philadelphia-Dover, OH split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+43.3 | R+32.6 | 10.7pp |