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Ontario, OR-ID

Ontario, OR-ID

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.5 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 59K residents — 2 counties

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  • POPULATION

    59K

  • COUNTIES

    2

  • PRES MARGIN

    R+53.9

    2024

  • TURNOUT

    56.9%

  • MEDIAN INCOME

    $61K

Place Story

What defines Ontario, OR-ID

Methodology

Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Ontario, OR-ID

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Malheur32K
R+44.1
2,8847,71010,94548.3%
Payette27K
R+63.0
2,0649,45811,73651.7%
2 countiesTotal votes: 22,681
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Ontario, OR-ID's political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Ontario, OR-IDCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 67.2%Hispanic 26.7%Multiracial 3.0%Native American 1.5%Asian 1.0%Black 0.6%
GroupOntario, OR-IDNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
67.2%57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)
26.7%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
3.0%4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)
1.5%0.9%
▶Asian(5)
1.0%6.0%
▶Black / African American(4)
0.6%12.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)
0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
46.1%(27.1K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions
Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Other
20.0%43.4%——
LDS (Mormon)
16.7%36.3%——
Catholic
12.9%28.0%——
Evangelical Protestant
10.5%22.7%——
Mainline Protestant
2.4%5.3%——
Black Protestant
0.3%0.6%——
Non-religiousPopulation
53.9%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.
Explore Other adherence nationally

Who lives in the Ontario, OR-ID metro area? 58,725 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Ontario, OR-ID vs National59K residents

16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
59K
local
59KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.02%
local
0.02%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
67.9%
local
67.9%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$60,899
local
$60,899National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.2%
local
14.2%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.1%
local
16.1%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
68.7%
local
68.7%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
37.4 yrs
local
37.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.5%
local
14.5%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
18.3%
local
18.3%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
6.3%
local
6.3%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
15.9%
local
15.9%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
84.1%
local
84.1%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Ontario, OR-ID

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
56.9%
vs Previous
-1.0pp
Voting-Age Pop
39,874
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Ontario, OR-ID?

Safe RAvg margin: R+52.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+40.7
2012
R+42.4
2016
R+51.9
2020
R+50.3
2024
R+53.9
Elasticity
13.2pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+47.8
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Ontario, OR-ID split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyModerate splitting (79/100)
2022 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
Senate vs GovernorR+51.4R+56.14.6pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 5.1pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Ontario, OR-ID sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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