Texarkana, TX-AR
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 146K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 6.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 24.6% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 48.0% | 70.2% |
| Black Protestant | 7.8% | 11.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.3% | 9.3% |
| Catholic | 4.6% | 6.8% |
| Other | 1.6% | 2.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 31.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+45.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+40.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+35.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.2 |
Texarkana, TX-AR is a metro area that has a population of 146,296. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.6% | 74.5% | R+49.8 | R+5.6 |
| 2020 | 27.0% | 71.3% | R+44.2 | D+1.4 |
| 2016 | 26.1% | 71.8% | R+45.6 | R+5.1 |
| 2012 | 29.2% | 69.7% | R+40.5 | R+4.6 |
| 2008 | 31.5% | 67.4% | R+35.9 | R+13.3 |
| 2004 | 38.5% | 61.1% | R+22.6 | R+8.2 |
| 2000 | 42.2% | 56.5% | R+14.3 | R+23.4 |
| 1996 | 49.7% | 40.6% | D+9.1 | D+1.9 |
| 1992 | 43.8% | 36.5% | D+7.2 | D+16.9 |
| 1988 | 44.9% | 54.5% | R+9.6 | D+17.8 |
| 1984 | 36.0% | 63.5% | R+27.5 | R+20.5 |
| 1980 | 45.8% | 52.7% | R+6.9 | R+24.1 |
| 1976 | 58.3% | 41.2% | D+17.1 | D+64.3 |
| 1972 | 26.3% | 73.5% | R+47.2 | R+50.5 |
| 1968 | 31.3% | 27.9% | D+3.3 | R+13.9 |
| 1964 | 58.5% | 41.2% | D+17.2 | R+4.3 |
| 1960 | 59.5% | 38.0% | D+21.6 | D+12.5 |
| 1956 | 53.7% | 44.6% | D+9.1 | R+15.7 |
| 1952 | 62.3% | 37.5% | D+24.8 | R+29.7 |
| 1948 | 65.5% | 11.1% | D+54.5 | — |
What defines Texarkana, TX-AR?
It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
LaGrange, GA-AL
Rural Republican 2
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Small-town rural republican 3
St. Joseph, MO-KS
Small-town rural republican 3
Joplin, MO-KS
Small-town rural republican 3
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Paducah, KY-IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Ontario, OR-ID
Rural Republican
Counties in Texarkana, TX-AR
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowie | 92K | R+48.7 | 9,282 | 27,122 | 36,644 | 63.9% |
| Miller | 42K | R+51.1 | 3,769 | 11,842 | 15,803 | 27.6% |
| Little River | 12K | R+54.3 | 1,084 | 3,744 | 4,899 | 8.5% |
3 countiesTotal votes: 57,346
Ask the Historian
Explore Texarkana, TX-AR's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.8% margin
- College attainment is 21% — 12pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Texarkana, TX-AR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 24.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 6.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
68.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -67.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 70.2% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 11.4% | — | — | |
| 6.3% | 9.3% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 6.8% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 2.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 31.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Texarkana, TX-AR metro area? 146,296 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
146K
Share of U.S. population
0.04%
Voting-age population
71.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$56,060
Poverty rate
18.6%
College degree
20.6%
Homeownership
65.1%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
14.8%
Age 65+
17.7%
Foreign born
3.4%
Non-English at home
5.8%
English only
94.2%
Turnout in Texarkana, TX-AR
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
54.8%
-2.5pp
104,733
1988–2024
How competitive is Texarkana, TX-AR?
Safe RAvg margin: R+46.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+35.9
2012
R+40.5
2016
R+45.6
2020
R+44.2
2024
R+49.8
13.9pp
1
R+43.2
Do voters in Texarkana, TX-AR split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (11/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+49.8 | R+46.5 | 3.4pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.6pp
Located In
Texarkana, TX-AR sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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