Portland-South Portland, ME
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 563K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.5% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 2.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 17.1% | 54.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.0% | 15.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.6% | 14.5% |
| Other | 4.4% | 14.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 2.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 68.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+24.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+25.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+16.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+22.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+25.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+13.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+8.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+19.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.5 |
Portland-South Portland, ME is a metro area that has a population of 562,843. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+24.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61.2% | 36.6% | D+24.6 | R+1.1 |
| 2020 | 61.4% | 35.7% | D+25.7 | D+8.8 |
| 2016 | 55.1% | 38.2% | D+16.9 | R+5.1 |
| 2012 | 59.0% | 37.0% | D+22.0 | R+3.4 |
| 2008 | 61.8% | 36.4% | D+25.4 | D+11.7 |
| 2004 | 56.0% | 42.3% | D+13.7 | D+5.6 |
| 2000 | 50.7% | 42.6% | D+8.1 | R+11.8 |
| 1996 | 52.4% | 32.5% | D+19.9 | D+12.4 |
| 1992 | 40.5% | 33.0% | D+7.5 | D+20.1 |
| 1988 | 43.4% | 55.9% | R+12.5 | D+4.9 |
| 1984 | 41.1% | 58.5% | R+17.4 | R+16.4 |
| 1980 | 43.1% | 44.1% | R+1.0 | R+2.3 |
| 1976 | 49.3% | 48.0% | D+1.3 | D+20.9 |
| 1972 | 40.2% | 59.8% | R+19.7 | R+37.0 |
| 1968 | 57.9% | 40.5% | D+17.4 | R+23.7 |
| 1964 | 70.5% | 29.5% | D+41.0 | D+52.0 |
| 1960 | 44.5% | 55.5% | R+11.0 | D+25.5 |
| 1956 | 31.8% | 68.2% | R+36.5 | R+7.8 |
| 1952 | 35.6% | 64.4% | R+28.7 | R+18.3 |
| 1948 | 44.4% | 54.7% | R+10.4 | — |
What defines Portland-South Portland, ME?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
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Charlottesville, VA
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Educated rural democratic
Counties in Portland-South Portland, ME
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland | 309K | D+35.3 | 127,971 | 59,964 | 192,656 | 55.1% |
| York | 217K | D+10.5 | 72,114 | 58,194 | 132,838 | 38.0% |
| Sagadahoc | 37K | D+16.6 | 13,982 | 9,917 | 24,456 | 7.0% |
3 countiesTotal votes: 349,950
Ask the Historian
Explore Portland-South Portland, ME's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 24.6% margin
- College attainment is 46% — 13pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.7% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.5% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 2.4% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
31.5%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +33.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 54.3% | — | — | |
| 5.0% | 15.9% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 14.5% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 14.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.7% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 68.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Portland-South Portland, ME metro area? 562,843 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
46% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
563K
Share of U.S. population
0.17%
Voting-age population
79.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$92,341
Poverty rate
7.6%
College degree
46.0%
Homeownership
73.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.7 yrs
Age 18–29
13.9%
Age 65+
21.4%
Foreign born
5.4%
Non-English at home
6.5%
English only
93.5%
Turnout in Portland-South Portland, ME
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
78.0%
+0.6pp
448,710
1988–2024
How competitive is Portland-South Portland, ME?
Safe DAvg margin: D+22.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+25.4
2012
D+22.0
2016
D+16.9
2020
D+25.7
2024
D+24.6
8.8pp
0
D+22.9
Do voters in Portland-South Portland, ME split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+24.6 | D+26.8 | 2.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 27.1pp
Located In
Portland-South Portland, ME sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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