Charlottesville, VA
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 224K residents — 5 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 6.8% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 10.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.3% | 43.6% |
| Catholic | 9.6% | 24.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.5% | 21.3% |
| Other | 3.9% | 9.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 60.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+26.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+28.2 |
| 2016 | Clinton+21.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+14.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+19.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+3.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.5 |
Charlottesville, VA is a metro area that has a population of 224,335. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+26.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 62.6% | 36.0% | D+26.6 | R+1.6 |
| 2020 | 63.1% | 34.9% | D+28.2 | D+6.3 |
| 2016 | 57.5% | 35.5% | D+21.9 | D+7.5 |
| 2012 | 56.4% | 41.9% | D+14.5 | R+5.1 |
| 2008 | 59.2% | 39.6% | D+19.5 | D+15.4 |
| 2004 | 51.5% | 47.4% | D+4.1 | D+6.1 |
| 2000 | 45.7% | 47.7% | R+2.1 | R+5.0 |
| 1996 | 48.0% | 45.0% | D+3.0 | R+1.5 |
| 1992 | 45.9% | 41.4% | D+4.5 | D+14.9 |
| 1988 | 44.2% | 54.6% | R+10.4 | D+8.7 |
| 1984 | 40.2% | 59.3% | R+19.1 | R+13.3 |
| 1980 | 42.4% | 48.2% | R+5.8 | R+3.8 |
| 1976 | 47.9% | 49.9% | R+2.0 | D+27.3 |
| 1972 | 34.5% | 63.8% | R+29.3 | R+10.8 |
| 1968 | 29.9% | 48.4% | R+18.5 | R+24.8 |
| 1964 | 52.9% | 46.6% | D+6.3 | D+15.3 |
| 1960 | 45.0% | 54.1% | R+9.1 | D+12.9 |
| 1956 | 34.6% | 56.5% | R+21.9 | R+7.2 |
| 1952 | 42.5% | 57.2% | R+14.7 | R+26.8 |
| 1948 | 50.6% | 38.5% | D+12.1 | — |
What defines Charlottesville, VA?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Madison, WI
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Burlington-South Burlington, VT
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Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
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Lansing-East Lansing, MI
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Boulder, CO
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Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
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Ann Arbor, MI
Educated rural democratic
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Educated rural competitive 2
Counties in Charlottesville, VA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | 115K | D+34.1 | 44,279 | 21,513 | 66,740 | 52.1% |
| Charlottesville City | 45K | D+68.7 | 19,435 | 3,428 | 23,303 | 18.2% |
| Fluvanna | 28K | R+6.3 | 7,731 | 8,777 | 16,678 | 13.0% |
| Greene | 21K | R+24.7 | 4,456 | 7,432 | 12,038 | 9.4% |
| Nelson | 15K | R+7.5 | 4,298 | 5,004 | 9,388 | 7.3% |
5 countiesTotal votes: 128,147
Ask the Historian
Explore Charlottesville, VA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 26.6% margin
- College attainment is 54% — 21pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Charlottesville, VA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 10.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 6.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.8% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
39.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -23.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.3% | 43.6% | — | — | |
| 9.6% | 24.2% | — | — | |
| 8.5% | 21.3% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 9.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.6% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Charlottesville, VA metro area? 224,335 residents across 5 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
54% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 21pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
224K
Share of U.S. population
0.07%
Voting-age population
75.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$93,511
Poverty rate
11.0%
College degree
54.0%
Homeownership
66.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.7 yrs
Age 18–29
18.5%
Age 65+
19.7%
Foreign born
8.9%
Non-English at home
12.2%
English only
87.8%
Turnout in Charlottesville, VA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
75.8%
+1.7pp
169,150
1988–2024
How competitive is Charlottesville, VA?
Safe DAvg margin: D+25.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+19.5
2012
D+14.5
2016
D+21.9
2020
D+28.2
2024
D+26.6
13.7pp
2
D+22.1
Do voters in Charlottesville, VA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (70/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+26.6 | D+27.1 | 0.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 6.7pp
Located In
Charlottesville, VA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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