Rockingham, NC
Safe Republican — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 42K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 7.8% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 31.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 2.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.8% | 61.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.2% | 19.0% |
| Black Protestant | 7.5% | 10.7% |
| Catholic | 4.7% | 6.8% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 30.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+2.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+1.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+11.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+28.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+30.9 |
Rockingham, NC is a metro area that has a population of 42,344. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.2% | 60.0% | R+20.9 | R+6.0 |
| 2020 | 42.2% | 57.0% | R+14.8 | R+5.1 |
| 2016 | 44.0% | 53.7% | R+9.7 | R+12.7 |
| 2012 | 51.0% | 48.1% | D+2.9 | D+1.5 |
| 2008 | 50.3% | 48.8% | D+1.5 | R+2.7 |
| 2004 | 51.9% | 47.7% | D+4.2 | R+7.5 |
| 2000 | 55.6% | 43.9% | D+11.7 | R+16.3 |
| 1996 | 59.1% | 31.0% | D+28.1 | R+2.9 |
| 1992 | 58.9% | 28.0% | D+30.9 | D+14.0 |
| 1988 | 58.3% | 41.4% | D+17.0 | D+12.2 |
| 1984 | 52.3% | 47.5% | D+4.8 | R+25.4 |
| 1980 | 63.9% | 33.7% | D+30.2 | R+20.8 |
| 1976 | 75.4% | 24.4% | D+51.0 | D+74.3 |
| 1972 | 37.5% | 60.8% | R+23.3 | R+34.4 |
| 1968 | 33.8% | 22.8% | D+11.1 | R+35.3 |
| 1964 | 73.2% | 26.8% | D+46.3 | D+3.1 |
| 1960 | 71.6% | 28.4% | D+43.3 | D+4.5 |
| 1956 | 69.4% | 30.6% | D+38.8 | D+1.6 |
| 1952 | 68.6% | 31.4% | D+37.2 | R+20.5 |
| 1948 | 72.0% | 14.2% | D+57.7 | — |
What defines Rockingham, NC?
Rockingham, NC has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (45% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Rockingham, NC
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | 42K | R+20.9 | 7,787 | 11,931 | 19,873 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.9% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.5 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Rockingham, NC | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 31.4% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 7.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 2.0% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -59.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8% | 61.5% | — | — | |
| 13.2% | 19.0% | — | — | |
| 7.5% | 10.7% | — | — | |
| 4.7% | 6.8% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.2% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 30.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Rockingham, NC metro area? 42,344 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Rockingham, NC
How competitive is Rockingham, NC?
Do voters in Rockingham, NC split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+20.9 | R+7.7 | 13.2pp |