Forrest City, AR
Competitive — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 22K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 39.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.7% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 54.5% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 40.8% | 68.2% |
| Black Protestant | 13.3% | 22.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 7.2% |
| Other | 1.1% | 1.8% |
| Catholic | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 40.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+0.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+5.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+11.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+18.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+16.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+19.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+18.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+35.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+30.6 |
Forrest City, AR is a metro area that has a population of 22,400. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+0.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.4% | 48.7% | D+0.7 | R+4.4 |
| 2020 | 50.7% | 45.6% | D+5.1 | R+6.4 |
| 2016 | 55.3% | 43.8% | D+11.5 | R+7.0 |
| 2012 | 58.7% | 40.3% | D+18.4 | D+1.9 |
| 2008 | 57.7% | 41.2% | D+16.5 | R+3.0 |
| 2004 | 59.3% | 39.8% | D+19.5 | D+1.0 |
| 2000 | 58.7% | 40.2% | D+18.5 | R+16.7 |
| 1996 | 64.3% | 29.2% | D+35.2 | D+4.5 |
| 1992 | 61.6% | 30.9% | D+30.6 | D+26.7 |
| 1988 | 51.8% | 47.9% | D+4.0 | D+8.9 |
| 1984 | 47.1% | 52.1% | R+5.0 | R+17.7 |
| 1980 | 55.5% | 42.8% | D+12.7 | R+17.8 |
| 1976 | 65.1% | 34.6% | D+30.5 | D+65.5 |
| 1972 | 31.0% | 65.9% | R+35.0 | R+53.3 |
| 1968 | 35.9% | 17.6% | D+18.3 | D+14.4 |
| 1964 | 51.9% | 48.0% | D+3.9 | R+10.4 |
| 1960 | 53.8% | 39.5% | D+14.3 | D+8.8 |
| 1956 | 50.3% | 44.9% | D+5.5 | R+10.3 |
| 1952 | 57.9% | 42.1% | D+15.8 | R+22.8 |
| 1948 | 46.9% | 8.3% | D+38.7 | — |
What defines Forrest City, AR?
Forrest City, AR has been trending Republican — 18pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Forrest City, AR
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Francis | 22K | D+0.7 | 2,953 | 2,909 | 5,979 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2024 election was decided by just 0.7 points — razor-thin
- Shifted 17.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Forrest City, AR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(2) | 54.5% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 39.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.7% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -72.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 68.2% | — | — | |
| 13.3% | 22.3% | — | — | |
| 4.3% | 7.2% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 1.8% | — | — | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 40.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Forrest City, AR metro area? 22,400 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 19pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Forrest City, AR
How competitive is Forrest City, AR?
Do voters in Forrest City, AR split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+1.8 | D+1.0 | 2.8pp |