Safford, AZ
Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 52.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 30.8% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 8.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 30.9% | 68.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 30.2% | 67.2% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.0% | 17.8% |
| Catholic | 5.2% | 11.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.8% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 55.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+48.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+38.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+37.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+40.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+39.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.0 |
Safford, AZ is a metro area that has a population of 39,232. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+48.0. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.4% | 73.5% | R+48.0 | R+3.3 |
| 2020 | 26.9% | 71.7% | R+44.8 | R+6.3 |
| 2016 | 26.9% | 65.3% | R+38.5 | R+0.9 |
| 2012 | 30.3% | 67.8% | R+37.5 | D+3.0 |
| 2008 | 28.9% | 69.4% | R+40.5 | R+0.6 |
| 2004 | 29.7% | 69.7% | R+39.9 | R+12.5 |
| 2000 | 34.7% | 62.2% | R+27.4 | R+24.4 |
| 1996 | 42.4% | 45.4% | R+3.1 | D+5.0 |
| 1992 | 35.0% | 43.0% | R+8.0 | D+11.8 |
| 1988 | 39.4% | 59.2% | R+19.8 | D+5.9 |
| 1984 | 36.6% | 62.3% | R+25.7 | R+1.1 |
| 1980 | 35.2% | 59.9% | R+24.7 | R+15.9 |
| 1976 | 43.8% | 52.6% | R+8.8 | D+20.1 |
| 1972 | 31.3% | 60.2% | R+28.8 | R+16.6 |
| 1968 | 35.0% | 47.2% | R+12.2 | R+14.5 |
| 1964 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.4 | D+11.1 |
| 1960 | 45.6% | 54.4% | R+8.7 | D+8.4 |
| 1956 | 41.5% | 58.5% | R+17.1 | R+17.3 |
| 1952 | 50.1% | 49.9% | D+0.2 | R+27.3 |
| 1948 | 63.2% | 35.7% | D+27.5 | — |
What defines Safford, AZ?
Safford, AZ has been trending Republican — 11pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (47% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Safford, AZ
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham | 39K | R+48.0 | 3,867 | 11,177 | 15,215 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 48.0% margin
- Shifted 10.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Safford, AZ | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 52.7% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 30.8% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 8.9% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.6% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.6% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -10.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.9% | 68.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 30.2% | 67.2% | — | — |
| 8.0% | 17.8% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 11.5% | — | — | |
| 0.8% | 1.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Safford, AZ metro area? 39,232 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Safford, AZ
How competitive is Safford, AZ?
Do voters in Safford, AZ split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+48.0 | R+41.0 | 7.1pp |