Shelton, WA
Competitive — 68K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 12.8% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 2.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 7.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.4% | 40.6% |
| Catholic | 8.6% | 33.5% |
| Other | 4.5% | 17.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.8% | 11.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.2% | 8.5% |
| Non-religious | 74.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+2.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+3.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+5.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+7.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+8.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+14.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.7 |
Shelton, WA is a metro area that has a population of 67,982. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.5. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.9% | 49.4% | R+2.5 | D+1.4 |
| 2020 | 46.3% | 50.2% | R+3.9 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 41.4% | 47.2% | R+5.8 | R+12.8 |
| 2012 | 51.8% | 44.8% | D+7.0 | R+1.6 |
| 2008 | 52.8% | 44.2% | D+8.6 | D+5.0 |
| 2004 | 50.8% | 47.2% | D+3.6 | D+0.8 |
| 2000 | 48.4% | 45.6% | D+2.8 | R+11.4 |
| 1996 | 48.6% | 34.5% | D+14.2 | D+2.4 |
| 1992 | 41.1% | 29.4% | D+11.7 | D+9.1 |
| 1988 | 50.3% | 47.8% | D+2.6 | D+11.5 |
| 1984 | 44.8% | 53.7% | R+9.0 | D+2.0 |
| 1980 | 38.2% | 49.1% | R+10.9 | R+22.5 |
| 1976 | 53.7% | 42.1% | D+11.5 | D+22.1 |
| 1972 | 42.6% | 53.1% | R+10.5 | R+23.6 |
| 1968 | 52.7% | 39.6% | D+13.1 | R+23.7 |
| 1964 | 68.3% | 31.6% | D+36.7 | D+30.7 |
| 1960 | 52.9% | 46.9% | D+6.1 | D+8.4 |
| 1956 | 48.7% | 51.1% | R+2.4 | R+2.4 |
| 1952 | 49.7% | 49.7% | Even | R+16.7 |
| 1948 | 55.6% | 38.8% | D+16.8 | — |
What defines Shelton, WA?
Shelton, WA has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Shelton, WA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason | 68K | R+2.5 | 17,215 | 18,127 | 36,689 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Margins have been narrowing — from 5.8pp to 2.5pp over the last 3 presidential elections
- College attainment is 22% — 11pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Shelton, WA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 12.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 7.8% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 2.3% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.0% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -11.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 40.6% | — | — | |
| 8.6% | 33.5% | — | — | |
| 4.5% | 17.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.8% | 11.0% | — | — |
| 2.2% | 8.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 74.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Shelton, WA metro area? 67,982 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Shelton, WA
How competitive is Shelton, WA?
Do voters in Shelton, WA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+0.8 | R+10.4 | 9.6pp |
| President vs Governor | R+2.5 | R+10.4 | 7.9pp |
| President vs Senate | R+2.5 | R+0.8 | 1.7pp |