Aberdeen, WA
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 77K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 11.2% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 4.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.4% | 51.5% |
| Catholic | 6.6% | 23.5% |
| Other | 4.7% | 16.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.4% | 12.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 8.2% |
| Non-religious | 72.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+6.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+6.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+7.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+14.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+14.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+6.1 |
| 2000 | Gore+8.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+24.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+20.9 |
Aberdeen, WA is a metro area that has a population of 77,053. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.0. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45.4% | 51.4% | R+6.0 | D+0.6 |
| 2020 | 45.1% | 51.7% | R+6.6 | D+0.4 |
| 2016 | 41.0% | 48.0% | R+7.0 | R+21.0 |
| 2012 | 55.1% | 41.2% | D+14.0 | R+0.6 |
| 2008 | 56.0% | 41.5% | D+14.6 | D+8.4 |
| 2004 | 52.2% | 46.0% | D+6.1 | R+1.9 |
| 2000 | 51.2% | 43.2% | D+8.0 | R+16.6 |
| 1996 | 53.6% | 29.1% | D+24.6 | D+3.7 |
| 1992 | 46.3% | 25.3% | D+20.9 | R+1.5 |
| 1988 | 60.3% | 37.9% | D+22.4 | D+11.6 |
| 1984 | 54.7% | 44.0% | D+10.8 | D+6.6 |
| 1980 | 44.4% | 40.2% | D+4.2 | R+12.6 |
| 1976 | 56.4% | 39.6% | D+16.8 | D+12.8 |
| 1972 | 49.6% | 45.6% | D+4.0 | R+21.2 |
| 1968 | 59.3% | 34.2% | D+25.2 | R+24.4 |
| 1964 | 74.5% | 24.9% | D+49.5 | D+34.1 |
| 1960 | 57.4% | 41.9% | D+15.4 | D+10.3 |
| 1956 | 52.5% | 47.3% | D+5.1 | D+4.5 |
| 1952 | 49.9% | 49.3% | D+0.6 | R+22.2 |
| 1948 | 58.8% | 36.0% | D+22.8 | — |
What defines Aberdeen, WA?
Aberdeen, WA has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Shelton, WA
Small-town rural republican
Coos Bay-North Bend, OR
Small-town rural republican
Newport, OR
Small-town rural republican
Freeport, IL
Small-town rural republican 2
Wisconsin Rapids-Marshfield, WI
Small-town rural republican 2
Manitowoc, WI
Small-town rural republican
Roseburg, OR
Small-town rural republican
Alpena, MI
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Aberdeen, WA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Harbor | 77K | R+6.0 | 17,161 | 19,432 | 37,793 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 37,793
Ask the Historian
Explore Aberdeen, WA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 21.5 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- College attainment is 18% — 15pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Aberdeen, WA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.0% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 11.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 4.2% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.4% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
27.9%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -32.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.4% | 51.5% | — | — | |
| 6.6% | 23.5% | — | — | |
| 4.7% | 16.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 3.4% | 12.2% | — | — |
| 2.3% | 8.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 72.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Aberdeen, WA metro area? 77,053 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
77K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
76.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$64,414
Poverty rate
15.3%
College degree
18.1%
Homeownership
73.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
44.7 yrs
Age 18–29
12.2%
Age 65+
23.3%
Foreign born
5.6%
Non-English at home
10.2%
English only
89.8%
Turnout in Aberdeen, WA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
64.0%
-1.1pp
59,051
1988–2024
How competitive is Aberdeen, WA?
Lean RAvg margin: R+6.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+14.6
2012
D+14.0
2016
R+7.0
2020
R+6.6
2024
R+6.0
21.5pp
1
D+1.8
Do voters in Aberdeen, WA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (40/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+1.9 | R+11.2 | 9.3pp |
| President vs Governor | R+6.0 | R+11.2 | 5.2pp |
| President vs Senate | R+6.0 | R+1.9 | 4.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.6pp
Located In
Aberdeen, WA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file