Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 115K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 7.5% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 4.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 17.8% | 59.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.8% | 19.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.0% | 13.2% |
| Other | 2.3% | 7.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 70.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+23.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+19.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+20.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+2.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+5.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+11.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+13.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.3 |
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY is a metro area that has a population of 115,040. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+23.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.1% | 61.7% | R+23.6 | R+4.6 |
| 2020 | 39.5% | 58.4% | R+19.0 | D+1.8 |
| 2016 | 36.1% | 56.9% | R+20.8 | R+17.9 |
| 2012 | 47.9% | 50.8% | R+2.9 | D+2.4 |
| 2008 | 46.7% | 52.0% | R+5.3 | D+6.0 |
| 2004 | 43.5% | 54.7% | R+11.3 | R+7.4 |
| 2000 | 46.1% | 49.9% | R+3.8 | R+16.8 |
| 1996 | 49.2% | 36.2% | D+13.0 | D+15.2 |
| 1992 | 35.8% | 38.0% | R+2.3 | D+13.1 |
| 1988 | 42.0% | 57.4% | R+15.4 | D+20.8 |
| 1984 | 31.8% | 68.0% | R+36.2 | R+26.6 |
| 1980 | 40.1% | 49.7% | R+9.6 | D+10.7 |
| 1976 | 39.7% | 60.0% | R+20.3 | D+12.7 |
| 1972 | 33.4% | 66.4% | R+33.0 | R+16.8 |
| 1968 | 39.8% | 56.0% | R+16.2 | R+56.4 |
| 1964 | 70.1% | 29.8% | D+40.2 | D+61.4 |
| 1960 | 39.4% | 60.6% | R+21.2 | D+26.9 |
| 1956 | 25.9% | 74.1% | R+48.1 | R+6.9 |
| 1952 | 28.7% | 69.9% | R+41.2 | R+20.6 |
| 1948 | 38.3% | 59.0% | R+20.6 | — |
What defines Watertown-Fort Drum, NY?
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson | 115K | R+23.6 | 16,326 | 26,417 | 42,843 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 23.6% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.2% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 7.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 4.8% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +41.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.8% | 59.3% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 19.3% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 13.2% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 7.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.9% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 70.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Watertown-Fort Drum, NY metro area? 115,040 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
How competitive is Watertown-Fort Drum, NY?
Do voters in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+23.6 | R+14.5 | 9.1pp |