Yakima, WA
Leans Republican — shifted 6.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 257K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 39.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 52.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 3.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 23.4% | 50.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.3% | 32.9% |
| Other | 5.9% | 12.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.7% | 7.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.3% | 2.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 53.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+14.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+7.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+13.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+11.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+10.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+20.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+20.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.3 |
Yakima, WA is a metro area that has a population of 257,152. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+14.3. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.4% | 55.6% | R+14.3 | R+6.6 |
| 2020 | 44.9% | 52.6% | R+7.7 | D+5.4 |
| 2016 | 39.2% | 52.3% | R+13.1 | R+1.5 |
| 2012 | 42.9% | 54.5% | R+11.6 | R+1.1 |
| 2008 | 43.6% | 54.1% | R+10.5 | D+9.9 |
| 2004 | 39.1% | 59.6% | R+20.4 | D+0.3 |
| 2000 | 37.9% | 58.6% | R+20.7 | R+17.3 |
| 1996 | 43.3% | 46.6% | R+3.4 | D+5.0 |
| 1992 | 36.3% | 44.6% | R+8.3 | D+4.3 |
| 1988 | 43.1% | 55.7% | R+12.6 | D+11.5 |
| 1984 | 37.4% | 61.5% | R+24.1 | R+4.6 |
| 1980 | 35.7% | 55.2% | R+19.5 | R+10.0 |
| 1976 | 43.7% | 53.1% | R+9.5 | D+13.4 |
| 1972 | 36.1% | 58.9% | R+22.9 | R+7.2 |
| 1968 | 38.0% | 53.7% | R+15.7 | R+28.6 |
| 1964 | 56.1% | 43.2% | D+12.9 | D+30.9 |
| 1960 | 40.7% | 58.7% | R+18.0 | D+2.7 |
| 1956 | 39.5% | 60.2% | R+20.7 | D+8.4 |
| 1952 | 35.0% | 64.1% | R+29.1 | R+25.2 |
| 1948 | 47.1% | 51.0% | R+3.9 | — |
What defines Yakima, WA?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Yakima, WA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yakima | 257K | R+14.3 | 36,706 | 49,368 | 88,751 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 19% — 14pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
- Turnout decreased by 4.2 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | Yakima, WA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 52.4% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 39.4% | 57.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 3.2% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.7% | 12.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.4% | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +12.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.4% | 50.3% | — | — | |
| 15.3% | 32.9% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 12.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 3.7% | 7.9% | — | — |
| 1.3% | 2.9% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 53.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Yakima, WA metro area? 257,152 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Yakima, WA
How competitive is Yakima, WA?
Do voters in Yakima, WA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+11.1 | R+19.5 | 8.4pp |
| President vs Governor | R+14.3 | R+19.5 | 5.2pp |
| President vs Senate | R+14.3 | R+11.1 | 3.2pp |