Visalia, CA
Safe Republican — shifted 13.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 479K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 25.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 66.6% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 36.0% | 68.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.5% | 19.8% |
| Other | 4.4% | 8.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 3.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.3% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 47.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+7.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.5 |
Visalia, CA is a metro area that has a population of 478,693. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.8% | 59.6% | R+20.9 | R+13.0 |
| 2020 | 45.0% | 52.8% | R+7.8 | D+1.6 |
| 2016 | 41.7% | 51.1% | R+9.4 | D+5.6 |
| 2012 | 41.2% | 56.2% | R+15.0 | D+0.3 |
| 2008 | 41.3% | 56.6% | R+15.3 | D+18.0 |
| 2004 | 32.9% | 66.2% | R+33.3 | R+9.8 |
| 2000 | 36.7% | 60.2% | R+23.5 | R+7.6 |
| 1996 | 38.1% | 53.9% | R+15.8 | R+5.4 |
| 1992 | 35.2% | 45.7% | R+10.5 | D+10.1 |
| 1988 | 39.0% | 59.6% | R+20.6 | D+8.2 |
| 1984 | 35.1% | 63.9% | R+28.8 | R+6.0 |
| 1980 | 35.5% | 58.3% | R+22.8 | R+12.0 |
| 1976 | 43.7% | 54.5% | R+10.8 | D+12.9 |
| 1972 | 36.2% | 59.9% | R+23.7 | R+11.0 |
| 1968 | 39.5% | 52.2% | R+12.7 | R+32.9 |
| 1964 | 60.1% | 39.8% | D+20.2 | D+28.6 |
| 1960 | 45.6% | 54.0% | R+8.4 | R+3.0 |
| 1956 | 47.2% | 52.5% | R+5.3 | D+8.8 |
| 1952 | 42.5% | 56.7% | R+14.2 | R+17.4 |
| 1948 | 50.2% | 47.0% | D+3.2 | — |
What defines Visalia, CA?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Visalia, CA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulare | 479K | R+20.9 | 53,221 | 81,854 | 137,274 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.9% margin
- Swung 13.0 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Visalia, CA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 66.6% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 25.5% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.6% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.6% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +43.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 68.1% | — | — | |
| 10.5% | 19.8% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 8.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 3.2% | — | — |
| 1.3% | 2.5% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Visalia, CA metro area? 478,693 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Visalia, CA
How competitive is Visalia, CA?
Do voters in Visalia, CA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+20.9 | R+23.2 | 2.4pp |