How did York-Hanover, PA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

York-Hanover, PA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+25.3. Kamala D Harris received 91,926 votes and Donald Trump received 154,884 out of 249,210 total votes cast, a 0.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is York-Hanover, PA's political history?

York-Hanover, PA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 66.9 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of York-Hanover, PA?

York-Hanover, PA has a population of 462,924 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 78.9% non-Hispanic white, 9.6% Hispanic, 6.3% Black. About 28% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $84,829.

Which places are most similar to York-Hanover, PA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to York-Hanover, PA are Lancaster, PA, Gettysburg, PA, Holland, MI. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

York-Hanover, PA

Latest: 2024↓ R+0.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 463K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
463K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
R+25.3
2024
TURNOUT
70.4%
MEDIAN INCOME
$85K

Place Story

What defines York-Hanover, PA

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 1968
- Safe R
- 15 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+66.9 in 1932
- 1928 → 1932
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 79% non-Hispanic white (+21pp vs national)
- 79% non-Hispanic white (+21pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 12.2pp behind Governor
- Divergence 12.2pp in 2022
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 9pp over Catholics
- 24% Catholic / 33% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Lancaster, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+15.9

Similarity score93%

Gettysburg, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+33.6

Similarity score92%

Holland, MI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+27.2

Similarity score92%

Chambersburg, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.0

Similarity score91%

Appleton, WI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+12.4

Similarity score89%

Lebanon, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+31.9

Similarity score89%

Midland, MI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+15.2

Similarity score88%

Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+16.4

Similarity score88%

Constituent Geography

Counties in York-Hanover, PA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
York	463K	R+25.3	91,926	154,884	249,210	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 249,210

Historian Query

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Explore York-Hanover, PA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the York-Hanover, PA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

York-Hanover, PACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 78.9%Hispanic 9.6%Black 6.3%Multiracial 3.6%Asian 1.5%

Group	York-Hanover, PA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	78.9%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	9.6%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(13)	6.3%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	3.6%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.5%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

33.7%(155.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -13.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	11.9%	35.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	11.1%	33.0%	—	—
Catholic	8.0%	23.7%	—	—
Other	2.1%	6.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	2.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.5%	1.4%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	66.3%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Mainline Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the York-Hanover, PA metro area? 462,924 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

York-Hanover, PA vs National463K residents

28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

463K

local

463KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.14%

local

0.14%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.4%

local

76.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$84,829

local

$84,829National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.4%

local

8.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.6%

local

27.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.3%

local

76.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.1 yrs

local

41.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.8%

local

18.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.1%

local

4.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.3%

local

8.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.7%

local

91.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in York-Hanover, PA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

70.4%

vs Previous

+3.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

353,767

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is York-Hanover, PA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+26.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+13.5

2012

R+21.1

2016

R+28.8

2020

R+24.6

2024

R+25.3

Elasticity

15.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+22.7

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in York-Hanover, PA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyStraight-ticket (80/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+25.3	R+22.7	2.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 5.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

York-Hanover, PA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Pennsylvania(State)

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