
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
196K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+23.9
TURNOUT
85.5%
#4 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$103K
COLLEGE+
40%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 92% non-Hispanic white (+35pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 22.4pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Catholic edge: 20pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.